Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rockstar Red 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Fight’n Ready 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Exemplified 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Solomon Vandy 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Big Skippy 4.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Unwrapped 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Away From Home 4.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Tiz the Coast 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 The Gatekeeper 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Cuore d’Oro 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dre Me Less 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Choctaw Bingo 5.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 My Good Fortune 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Candy Island 15.00 2 4-1
10 10 Xylophone 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Miss Moon Pie 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Kitten Calls 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Memphis Cash Queen 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Seaward 12.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Pelletier 20.00 6.7 13-1
My Good Fortune 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Up On the Edge 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Liam’s Message 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Noriskit Nobiscuit 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Standoutsensation 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Money Works 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Wee Bit O Mischief 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Business as Usual 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Iuka Miss 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 When I Look At You 6.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Champagne Surprise 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Mother Freedom 30.00 8.2 15-1
Noriskit Nobiscuit 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 First Defender 4.50 1 2-1
14 14 Western Command 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Summer in Malibu 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Just Say When 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Eli’s Promise 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Double Clutch 8.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Chiringo 5.00 8.5 16-1
15 15 Judge Davis 5.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Town Barber 3.50 9.9 19-1
1 1 Bench 12.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Gilded Ruler 12.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Donegal Mischief 2.50 11.6 22-1
9 9 Runningforcash 30.00 12 23-1
16 16 Huntertown 30.00 13.7 26-1
2 2 Arabian Prince 10.00 14.1 27-1
13 13 Trust Daddy 10.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Snow Dance 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nota Belle 8.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Tarifa 6.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Regulatory Risk 5.00 8.7 16-1
16 16 Round the Town 12.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Life Advice 6.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Lookster 15.00 10.8 20-1
15 15 Bernar Mosa 12.00 11.5 22-1
11 11 Idalou 20.00 11.9 22-1
5 5 Yes to Champagne 4.50 11.9 22-1
1 1 Streetwhereyoulive 20.00 12.3 23-1
12 12 Thorpedo Anna 12.00 12.7 24-1
10 10 Waggle Pass 15.00 12.8 24-1
14 14 Circling 8.00 13.2 25-1
9 9 Scenic Beauty 20.00 14.6 28-1
2 2 Divine Treasure 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Raining Sugar 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Yatta 3.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Umeboshi 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sweetcatherinerose 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Mo Sense 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Smooth Waves 1.60 7.3 14-1
1 1 Leucadia 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Dozen Diamonds 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Kamikaze Umagi 30.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Ask Amanda 4.50 9.4 18-1
8 8 Gigi’s World 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ducale 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Raise Cain 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Nelson Avenue 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Condemn 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Angkor 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Santos Dumont 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Vittorio 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Night Time 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Determinedly 12.00 10.3 19-1
14 14 Embrace 20.00 10.7 20-1
13 13 Swing Shift 30.00 11.1 21-1
6 6 W W Candy 20.00 11.6 22-1
11 11 Major Blue 30.00 13.9 26-1
2 2 Fan Club 30.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Missionaire 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Command’ Oro 20.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Crossing 15.00 5.1 10-1
14 14 Mo Saturdays 8.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Stonks 4.50 6.8 13-1
11 11 Weyhill Road 2.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Moesahandful 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Texas Toast 50.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Now That Ican Rock 15.00 9.9 19-1
15 15 Mohegan 6.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Heart N Soul 4.50 10.8 20-1
6 6 As One Does 15.00 12.9 24-1
3 3 Nation 3.50 13.1 25-1
12 12 Egyptian King 20.00 15.3 29-1
2 2 Added Mischief 12.00 15.7 30-1
8 8 Little Nick 20.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.