Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Strictly Taboo 0 0-1
6 7 Strictly Taboo 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Shaman Princess 3.00 2 4-1
1A 5 Cerretta 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 9 Splashy 3.50 3 6-1
2 1 She’s a Natural 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 8 Neigh Jude 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 Turriga 4.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Watch Over Me 10.00 8.7 16-1
5 6 Cherbourg 20.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Cuprite 3.00 SCRATCH
1X 11 Bussia 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bold Endeavor 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Unbridled Bomber 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Daydreaming Boy 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Systemic Change 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Uncle Moonlight 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Better Justice 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Addressable Market (IRE) 10.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Volatility 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Keep It Sexy 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 It Wasn’t Me 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Avalanche Is Comin 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Katie’s Checkride 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rapid Miss Tapit 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Exotic Cat 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Duneen Bay 10.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Dramatic Effect 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rosy Tomorrows 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tooshay 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jolly Miss Jill 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Exogen 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Maggie 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dufresne 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Amity Island 5.00 6 11-1
4 4 Luna Loca 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Autumn Glory 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Royal Dancer 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Weekend Rags 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bella Principessa 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Latest Edition 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Linarite 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Candy Monet 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Bern Rosey Bern 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Robyn and Eli 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Three Unions 30.00 10.4 20-1
12 12 Bunty Windermere 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 A Maize Zing Dotie 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Spooky Lady 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Fancypants Juliana 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Supers Lucky Lady 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Queens Over Threes 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Houlton 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Heartened 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Live to Ride (GB) 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Rocket Night 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Marceau 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Skyler’s Artemis 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Right to Vote 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Quokka 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Mighty Glory 30.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Team Captain 6.00 11.4 21-1
12 12 Spirit Prince 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 Otello 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I See You Lookin 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ignite the Light 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Shamrock Shake 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fluff the Pillow 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roman Goddess 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Try It Again 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Ghostly Girl 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Vax 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Boss Lady Kim 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Mursal 1.60 6.7 13-1
4 4 Icy Reply 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Timbuktu 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 One Headlight 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Indian Mischief 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Clear Conscience 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lachaise 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Gem Mint Ten 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Spiritual King 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Kingdom On Paws 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Laurel Valley 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dr. Marbooz 50.00 10.7 20-1
7 7 Mr. Kringle 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Barrel of Quests 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Shinsun 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Whistler’s Honor 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Be of Courage 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Noble Huntsman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Montauk Mystique 0 0-1
12 12 Two Redheads 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sweet Liberty 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gotham Gray 6.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Strange Fruit 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Good Morning Kiss 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Montauk Mystique 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Army of Thoughts 12.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Maxing the Bank 50.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Bank Holiday 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Eastern Star 12.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Countess Constance 15.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Darling Cat 30.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Sugar and Speights 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.