Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Sounds Like Power |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Plum Wine |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Glamordini |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Otra Cosa |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mister Banderas |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Court Jester |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bold Carlos |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Canal St. Cupid |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Nita Warrior |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dadsamumbler |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Autumn Rob |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Fruit Cup |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Essential Bella |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luckyhotstuff |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Suzy Doll’s Ready |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dolly’s Guitar |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Texas Red Bel |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brave City Girl |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dream Town |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sophie’s Prayer |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Jamie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Madison’s Screen |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
St Pierre |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Valley Mischief |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alphin |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Astrology Wonowon |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Addisons Warrior |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Golden Confusion |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clearly a Jet |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Chan |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Boss Man Zong |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smooth Custom |
20.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saucy Argument |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Flattersolution |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Super Ocho (CHI) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Pal Mattie |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Topper T |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Oil Money |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Fire |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Black Sword |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild Bert |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Autumns Strong Man |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Lulos |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cousvinnysacanuck |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Clarestown |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crimson Storm |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kurt’s Choice |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Optimal Trip |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magna Colors |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motawaafeq |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ima Big Bopper |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Butler Cabin |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bay Be Gone |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Oak Hill Lg |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guitar Slim |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
City Park |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doctor Leo |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heza Pickle |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joey’s Game |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bayou Jam |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Into Wishing |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Premo |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jimmie’s Halo |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mosquito Fleet |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Davidic Line |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Valor |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Super Wise |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Once Upon a Dream |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Burning Leaves |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Eye Dee Kay |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dried Pepper |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Smoky Topaz |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Vitale |
5.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ring Twice |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boardwalk Queen |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Malibu Toast |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Last of the Nile |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cahuilla |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cincy’s Anna |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Queen of the Moon |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Villana |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiz My Plan |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tiz Donegal |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Monolith |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dr. Snyder |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mr Midway |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baileys Bro |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
All Country |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brilliant Spin |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spiders Revenge |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rambo’s Return |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.