Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sounds Like Power 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Plum Wine 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Glamordini 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Otra Cosa 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mister Banderas 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Court Jester 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Bold Carlos 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Canal St. Cupid 15.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 I Nita Warrior 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Dadsamumbler 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Autumn Rob 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fruit Cup 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Essential Bella 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Luckyhotstuff 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Suzy Doll’s Ready 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dolly’s Guitar 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Texas Red Bel 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Brave City Girl 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Dream Town 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Sophie’s Prayer 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Miss Jamie 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Madison’s Screen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 St Pierre 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Valley Mischief 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Alphin 8.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Astrology Wonowon 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Addisons Warrior 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Golden Confusion 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Clearly a Jet 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Uncle Chan 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Boss Man Zong 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Smooth Custom 20.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Saucy Argument 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flattersolution 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Ocho (CHI) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 My Pal Mattie 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Topper T 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Oil Money 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Midnight Fire 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Black Sword 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Wild Bert 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Autumns Strong Man 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lulos 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cousvinnysacanuck 3.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Clarestown 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Crimson Storm 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Kurt’s Choice 4.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 Optimal Trip 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Magna Colors 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Motawaafeq 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Ima Big Bopper 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Butler Cabin 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Bay Be Gone 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Oak Hill Lg 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Guitar Slim 4.50 2.6 5-1
10 10 City Park 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Doctor Leo 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Heza Pickle 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Joey’s Game 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Bayou Jam 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Into Wishing 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Flashy Premo 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Jimmie’s Halo 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mosquito Fleet 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Davidic Line 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Irish Valor 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Super Wise 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Once Upon a Dream 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Burning Leaves 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eye Dee Kay 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Dried Pepper 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Smoky Topaz 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Vitale 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ring Twice 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Boardwalk Queen 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Malibu Toast 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Last of the Nile 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cahuilla 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Cincy’s Anna 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Queen of the Moon 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 La Villana 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Tiz My Plan 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tiz Donegal 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Monolith 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Dr. Snyder 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Mr Midway 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Baileys Bro 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 All Country 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Brilliant Spin 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Spiders Revenge 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Rambo’s Return 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.