Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 26, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Penzance 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 B Sudd 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dark Vector 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 Spoiler 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Power Seeker 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Runningforcash 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Fast Fall 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Harbour Bridge 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Free Rambling Man 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Showdown King 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Be There 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Time Andbeyond 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Collier’s Time 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Paved in Gold 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Macho Villa 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Olga Isabel 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Purr Sea 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Your So Sillea 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Asena 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Be Like Water 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bhoma 10.00 3.9 7-1
Your So Sillea 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Up On the Edge 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Guest of Honor 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Stephanieswarrior 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Classy’n Connected 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Lou Anna 15.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Fluid 6.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Queen Lexi 30.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Chiquita Reina 30.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Princess Is Olivia 12.00 10 19-1
3 3 Kentuckyterminator 8.00 10.9 21-1
11 11 Jocelyn 20.00 11.2 21-1
10 10 Thorpedo Anna 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Emily Kathryn 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Excellent Question 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Red River Magic 2.50 3 6-1
16 16 Theroanrunner 8.00 5.7 11-1
15 15 Insensitive 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Jungle Cat 30.00 6.4 12-1
14 14 Milieu 4.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Mirari 10.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Mon Dieu 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Lady Tremaine 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Lady Dynamo 8.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Silent Revenge 30.00 10.9 21-1
10 10 Skip To The Beat (IRE) 8.00 12 23-1
9 9 Call Me Toni 30.00 12.2 23-1
11 11 Mucho Macho Chick 30.00 13.1 25-1
13 13 Lipochrome 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brilliant Man 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Commissioner Oscar 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Aspiring Comedian 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ultimate Strike 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mena 2.50 4.4 8-1
12 12 Mor Jazz 30.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Master of the Nite 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Lead Foot 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Prince Is My Boy 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Metronome 8.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Different Flame 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 The Rush Is On 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Magical Monarch 10.00 9.5 18-1
14 14 Midcat 10.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blue Eyed George 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tough Little Nut 4.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Billy the Greek 30.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 Elevated Game 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Steeler Mischief 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Fortune Seller 4.50 8.3 16-1
7 7 Copper Missile 8.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Please Advise 6.00 10 19-1
4 4 Good Bali 20.00 11.1 21-1
13 13 Family Factor 30.00 11.4 22-1
8 8 Legal Titan 8.00 11.6 22-1
16 16 Rezasrolex 20.00 12.8 24-1
11 11 Save the King 20.00 13 24-1
5 5 Code Omaha 5.00 13.6 26-1
9 9 Mission Ready 20.00 14.8 28-1
3 3 Baytown Parfait 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shakin Loose 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Charleston 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Rocketeer 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 World Fair 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Higginsville 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Stinger Bee 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Stop the Press 3.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 No Judgment 6.00 9.3 17-1
3 3 Warp Nine 8.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 D Day Sky 20.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Melee 12.00 10.9 21-1
2 2 Tuscany’s Eagle 15.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 First Defender 3.00 1 2-1
15 15 Immortalization 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Congrats On Fifty 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Vocalize 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Judge Davis 3.00 6 11-1
11 11 Western Command 3.50 6.3 12-1
10 10 Ruthless Rua 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Gilded Ruler 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Zartownis 10.00 8.1 15-1
14 14 Maneuver 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Jefe de Obra (CHI) 5.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Trust Daddy 8.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Huntertown 30.00 10.9 21-1
13 13 Baie Longue 4.00 13.1 25-1
6 6 Star Slugger 15.00 15.9 30-1
16 16 Smokey Lee 30.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.