Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Penzance | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Sudd | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Vector | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spoiler | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power Seeker | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runningforcash | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Fall | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Harbour Bridge | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Rambling Man | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Showdown King | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be There | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time Andbeyond | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collier’s Time | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paved in Gold | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Villa | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Olga Isabel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purr Sea | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your So Sillea | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asena | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Like Water | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bhoma | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| Your So Sillea | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Up On the Edge | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guest of Honor | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stephanieswarrior | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Classy’n Connected | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lou Anna | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fluid | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Lexi | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiquita Reina | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Is Olivia | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentuckyterminator | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jocelyn | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thorpedo Anna | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Emily Kathryn | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excellent Question | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red River Magic | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Theroanrunner | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Insensitive | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jungle Cat | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Milieu | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mirari | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Dieu | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Tremaine | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Dynamo | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Revenge | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skip To The Beat (IRE) | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Toni | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Macho Chick | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lipochrome | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Man | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commissioner Oscar | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aspiring Comedian | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Strike | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mena | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mor Jazz | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master of the Nite | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lead Foot | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Is My Boy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Metronome | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Different Flame | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Rush Is On | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magical Monarch | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Midcat | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Eyed George | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Little Nut | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Billy the Greek | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Elevated Game | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steeler Mischief | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fortune Seller | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Missile | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Please Advise | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bali | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Family Factor | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Titan | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Rezasrolex | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Save the King | 20.00 | 13 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Code Omaha | 5.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mission Ready | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Parfait | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shakin Loose | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charleston | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocketeer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | World Fair | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Higginsville | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stinger Bee | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stop the Press | 3.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Judgment | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warp Nine | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | D Day Sky | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Melee | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuscany’s Eagle | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | First Defender | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Immortalization | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Congrats On Fifty | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vocalize | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Davis | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Western Command | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ruthless Rua | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Ruler | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zartownis | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Maneuver | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jefe de Obra (CHI) | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trust Daddy | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huntertown | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Baie Longue | 4.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Slugger | 15.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Smokey Lee | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.