Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eliminate 0.60 1 2-1
2 4 Domestic Product 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Bounteous 8.00 3.1 6-1
1A 9 Sturdy 0.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Shamrock Shake 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Dangerous Driver 30.00 3.5 7-1
2B 8 Middle Market 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Golden Plate 10.00 5 10-1
6 6 Classy Mischief 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Hydra 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Everyoneloveslinda 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 1 Royal Meghan 4.50 3 6-1
4 5 To a T 4.00 3 6-1
1A 4 Dame Cinco 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 6 I’m Buzzy 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 2 Good Penny 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Overacting 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Smokie Eyes 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Snowy Evening 3.50 2.4 4-1
9 9 Stella Mars 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Bernt Again 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sals Dream Girl 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lady Jasmine 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Crimson Princess 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Russiarussiarussia 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Monroe 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Boardwalk Fries 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Chess Master 4.50 1 2-1
1 4 Run Curtis Run 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Chewing Gum 4.00 2 4-1
8 7 Fluid Situation 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 11 Cazadero 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 2 Comedy Town 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 6 Legends Can’t Die 3.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 Vacation Dance 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 1 Nolo Contesto 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Souzak (FR) 6.00 9 17-1
3C 16 Clem Labine 8.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Souper Energizer 30.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Senbei 3.00 SCRATCH
1X 15 My Harbors Dream 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 12 Oxymore 3.50 SCRATCH
12 14 Alternate Reality 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sweet Willemina 0 0-1
6 6 Pretti Xtreme 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Willemina 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Bustin Bay 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Toned Up 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Missy Greer 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 First to Act 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Allamericanbeauty 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Frosty O Toole 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ozara (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cynane 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gold Lightning 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Latte Lizzie 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Flowers for Me 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Red Burgundy 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Living Magic 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Gavea (GER) 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Awesome Czech 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Tricky Temper 15.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Being Betty 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Takemetothebeach 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Day Away 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lucy Bliss 0 0-1
6 6 Technical Analysis (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Fluffy Socks 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Beaute Cachee (FR) 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sparkle Blue 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Uncorked (AUS) 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Evidencias (BRZ) 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Favor 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Eight Danzas 50.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Miss Dracarys 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bold Ruler S.) – Bold Ruler S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Durante 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Twisted Ride 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Cowan 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Stage Left 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Provocateur 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Five Dreams 15.00 4 8-1
9 9 High Oak 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Jeff Fa Fa 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Pirate Rick 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Slapintheface 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Tony O 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Fake Celebrity 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Kid Kreesa 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Dolly’s Bank 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Egyptian Quest 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Clever Forever 3.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Bettrluckythangood 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Mugsy Fury 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Domination 6.00 10.6 20-1
16 16 Refuah 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Prince of Troy 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Charming Jim 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Atlanta’s Acuna 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hari 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Beary Funny 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.