Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 U S Navy Cross 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mr. Four Sevens 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Standing Man 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Birthday Party 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Applewood 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Payday Too 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Yes Bab 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Whiskey’s Gone 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Croque Monsieur (GB) 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Coolcross 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Woman With a Book 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Getcha 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 San Juan Hill 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flower Cat 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Sunset War 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Razz 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Mr. Butch Womble 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Palante 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Big Russss 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Lifeasweknowit 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 St Joe 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Count On Rain 15.00 6 11-1
11 11 Gone Solution 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Skippa 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Communicationiskey 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Coal Dancer 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Take Her Away 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Big Star Baby 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Steel Guitar 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hay Hay Girl 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Coushatta Cutie 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Deal Pickle 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Costa Lady 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 My Idea 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Bellamysawesomeday 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Viewing Trail 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Our Clover Gal 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Sheza Cat 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Just a Win 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 California Cali 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Reina Aces 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Thursday Morning 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bless d’South 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Oochie 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kancancutie 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Glamorous Star 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bye Bye Big Baby 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Saint Mary 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nicely Unified 4.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Bayou Beauty 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Strummin Mary 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Blueridgeballerina 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dee’s Lil Fool 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Tensas Clear 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Top Con 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Sparkle City 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Apriority Catch 6.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Wake Up Dolores 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Megans Millions 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fuhr Meo 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Boston Lucille 15.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Simple Sunday 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Iron Banner 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 She’s Takin Over 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Pat Hand Girl 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Non Binding 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mylies Star 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Flashyboy’s Lilsis 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Chatain’s Flyer 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Kappa Hill 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cajun Two Step 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big Brother 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Little Jony 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Captains Cove 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Moro Flyboy 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Awesome Cajun 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Dark Matter 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Ambassador House 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Double Bogey 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Muletrain 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 D W Strong 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Robust 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Admiral Afleet 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cheerfor Mshawish 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 New Dice 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Hulk 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rush the Colors 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 American Smooth 3.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Let’s Go Random 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Elusive d’Oro 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 G’s Storm 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Quarter Rat 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bleep Bleep 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Astern Banker 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Moon Time 4.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Eight Straight 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Doce de la Noche 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Spoonman 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Call Me Firey 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cole’s Sensation 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mustbelieve 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Quick Zong 10.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Royal de Be 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Indefensible Town 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.