Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hollywood Ending 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Shortstop 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Atlantic Dancer 15.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Halmstad 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Citizen 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Levee Was Dry 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Remarkable Mo 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runandscore 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hijack the Party 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bayou Spirit 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Triple Option 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Microbeastie 3.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Texcoco 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Night Chant 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Serpa 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 Feeling Free 6.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Valuable Cargo 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Moonlight Gambler 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Savannamarie 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Celtic Charm 4.50 6.4 12-1
12 12 Talonnade 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Best of All 4.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Saltwater Taffy 6.00 10.5 20-1
16 16 Mitole’s Baytown 30.00 10.7 20-1
9 9 Sedately 6.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Adellegator 30.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Yammy Yammy Bella 30.00 12.2 23-1
6 6 Golden Storm 30.00 12.4 23-1
4 4 Egyptian Candy 30.00 12.5 24-1
15 15 Katherine Thomas 10.00 12.5 24-1
10 10 Tonalite 15.00 12.8 24-1
1 1 Tony Blue Tape 12.00 14.4 27-1
13 13 Fly High Birdie 20.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Buck Moon 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nautilus (BRZ) 20.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Timely Prospect 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Trident Hit 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pledgeofallegiance 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 King’s Ovation 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Uninvited Guest 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rock Star Doctor 1.60 1 2-1
9 9 Been Real Busy 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Peggy’s Way 20.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Rose Darling 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Autism Compassion 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Missy Bee 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Valerie Blue 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cruisin Lucy 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Bette Davis 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sahlabiya 10.00 1 2-1
16 16 Be My Sunshine 8.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Queen’s Garden 6.00 4.4 8-1
14 14 Whenthedawnbreaks 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Last Call 3.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Hay Stack 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Callie’s Grit 8.00 8 15-1
15 15 Writteninthestars 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Autism Community 30.00 10 19-1
3 3 Mirabella 6.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Cant Keep Me Down 20.00 11.7 22-1
13 13 Pretty Provocative 20.00 11.9 23-1
7 7 Red Hot and Blue 15.00 13.9 26-1
9 9 Robin Sage 15.00 15.8 30-1
8 8 Por Una Cabeza 20.00 15.8 30-1
4 4 Viva La Red 8.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Alexa Lou 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chop Chop 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Corningstone 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fun and Feisty 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Cotton Candy Annie 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 She’s Lookin Lucky 1.40 4.1 8-1
3 3 Flamand 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Thunders Rocknroll 6.00 5 10-1
5 5 Chiquita Mosca 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bank Of America Valley View S.) – Bank Of America Valley View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heavenly Sunday 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Secret Money 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Surge Capacity 3.00 2.5 5-1
15 15 Junipermarshmallow 15.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Safeen 10.00 3.8 7-1
14 14 Bolivie (IRE) 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sacred Wish 3.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Pride of the Nile 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Yesternight 20.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Flashy Gem 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Bling 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Sweetlou’sgotaces 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Speirling Beag (IRE) 12.00 7.9 15-1
16 16 Erna 10.00 11.5 22-1
4 4 Abundancia 30.00 14.5 27-1
5 5 Eternal Silence 8.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Myrtlewood S.) – Myrtlewood S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Youalmosthadme 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Let Them Watch 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Xtreme Diva 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Hot Beach 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Fibber 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Xtreme Smoke Show 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Copper Em 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Wellareyouhappynow 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Field Lass 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Sierra Sky 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Lauriston (IRE) 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Floribunda 3.50 8.5 16-1
13 13 Hidden Presence 6.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Justdeny 6.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Lady de Berry 4.50 10.2 19-1
8 8 Broughty Ferry 30.00 12.9 24-1
11 11 Cleopatra’s Nile 5.00 13.2 25-1
6 6 Its Satisfactual 12.00 13.3 25-1
15 15 Style Points 8.00 13.3 25-1
10 10 Thorny 10.00 13.5 25-1
2 2 Miss Harmonic 15.00 14.7 28-1
4 4 Dazzlin’ Dictator 8.00 15 28-1
16 16 Stephanieswarrior 30.00 15.3 29-1
1 1 Adrasteia 30.00 15.6 29-1
7 7 Gold Del Mar 20.00 16 30-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.