Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jamiesta | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Secret | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Race for Pinks | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Turn | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Giant | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Forester | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tricky Magician | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Venti | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Preetzah’s Star | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discovery Chart | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Holiday | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Domi | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | It’s Me Mario | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Serenade | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince for a Day | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Opeechee | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just the Max | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday in Chile | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hemlo Gold | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolder Grand | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hank Ollie | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormin Dave | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Grinding | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bringer of Rain | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blast in the Snow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It Worked | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucys Child | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sensing Holiday | 20.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Chairman | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Prince | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gus’s Gamble | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maximus Momentus | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Gent | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Executive Giant | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tourist’s Dream | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Society | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copinsay | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Spring | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mt Logan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Teddy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threefiftyseven | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Long Pond | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Ramblin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Citrus Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point to the Stars | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Small Talk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Langstaff Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Basketball Jones | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Morning Thoughts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Souper Rush | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Highland Life | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Richiesinthehouse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spite Store | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Downy Boy | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempo Madness | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salvator Mundi | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call My Banker | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Executive | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feelthebeat | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Crush | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wickenheiser | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anita Margarita | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courtly Ro | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diosa Catrina | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam’s Gift | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Financial Advice (FR) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cry Freedom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Needs Fulfilled | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contrivance | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai Challenge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Myra’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maticulant | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Guardtherock | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notachancebro | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Ensign | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Haahee | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Forest | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Deshambo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Magnifico | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.