Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Flying in Style 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vaunted 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Refuah 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Beary Funny 1.40 2.4 4-1
5 5 Prince of Truth 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Escape Key 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hammerin Aamer 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 The Revenger 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Continental Divide 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 My Friends Beer 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Pit Boss 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jumpster 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sacred Rhyme 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 War Officer 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 The Jackal 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Torigo 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Jamestown 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Absolute Control (FR) 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Caspian Sea (GB) 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Elevated Causeway 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Comanche Peak (GB) 20.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Pujol 50.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Nostalgic One 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 9 Magnolia Midnight 3.50 1 2-1
2 5 Tetsu 1.00 1.9 3-1
6 8 Sagamore Mischief 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Scilly Cay 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 3 Big Bobby 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 2 Flint Ridge 12.00 4.2 8-1
1A 6 Royal Tryst 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 1 Life and Light 30.00 8.3 16-1
2B 7 Colonel Bowman 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
You Look Cold 0 0-1
1 1 Taming the Tigress 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 You Look Cold 2.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Rachel’s Rock 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 More Than Vows 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Remain Anonymous 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Lady Milagro 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Quick Munny 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Malibu Moonshine 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Elle Est Forte 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Miss San Gabriel 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Dontmesswithtess 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Diamond Status 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Thundara 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Tap It Up 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Miscreant 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Miss Kristy 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 More Mango 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Nightsaber (GB) 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Redistricting (GB) 1.20 1 2-1
10 10 Capture the Flag 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Quality G 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ramblin’ Wreck 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Fighter in the Win 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Be of Courage 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Bryce Canyon 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Heathguard 50.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 My Imagination 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Shadowed (IRE) 10.00 9 17-1
12 12 Daddy Knows 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Bad to the Bones 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fenwick 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Capone 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mistical Curlin 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Mother Goose S.) – Mother Goose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Xigera 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Occult 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Julia Shining 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Undervalued Asset 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Defining Purpose 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Foggy Night 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Peak Popularity 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Awad S.) – Awad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spirit Prince 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Innate (IRE) 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Move to Gold 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tropandhagen 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dancing Mischief 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Blue Creek 15.00 5 10-1
7 7 British Sea 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Twirling Point 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Forty Niner S.) – Forty Niner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Accretive 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Film Star 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Dr Ardito 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Everso Mischievous 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Swiftsure 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Double Crown 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Business Model 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Synthesis 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Material Witness 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Le Beau 4.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Catskill Humor 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Wish List 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Oolong Hai (IRE) 15.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Words of Praise 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Riviere 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Nyxed 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lightbulb Moment 12.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Karen’s Broomstick 6.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Iguazu (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.