Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Premium 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jolly Tommy 10.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Runway Magic 2.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Far Beyond 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Chapel Barn 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Get Them Justin 15.00 5 9-1
10 10 Machinegunpreacher 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Warrior’s Run 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Hardcore Folklore 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Sammy Danseur Jr. 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Munqad 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Ballinonabudjet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Debbies Passage 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Bind On Earth 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Aprettylulaby 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sweet Bay 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Itsnotmyjob 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Building Home 8.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Sassy Emma 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Madame Jane 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Stella’s Surprise 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Custom Guitar 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Hurricane Tizway 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Derby Day Lassie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cajun Cyclone 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Bobby Boy 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Autumn Rob 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Fruit Cup 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Joseph H 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mighty Maddox 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Emily’s Boy 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Not Likely 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Chaotic Jack 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Skinny Bobby 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ferocity 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bayou Beaux 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Mr. Wimbledon Bay 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Letstakeitoutside 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Chicago Chrome 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Target Practice 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Mad Gold 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Knights Sword 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Royal Consort 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jamaican Me 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Itellyouthefacts 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Swift N Traffic 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Perfect Tom 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sarah’s Vision 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Nocomet 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Forged in Steel 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Double Priority 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Byathread 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Putthehammerdown 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Saber Storm 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Play Master 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight’s Girl 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Have I Ever 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Zero Point Zero 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sense of Flurry 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Stop Shop N Drop 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Cayman Queen 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 The Grey Beauty 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Marilyn’s Magic 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rain 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kiss Ride Goodbye 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Glance 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Royal Bonus 10.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Izeonpoint 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Western Dream 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bows N Lace 4.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 J Z’s First 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Start Well 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 West Side Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Crystal d’Oro 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Scarlet Storm 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Unified Love 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fitts N Starts 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 World of Hurt 12.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Arms Apriority 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Zeerock 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Tensas Bertie 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Midnight Faith 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bandit’s Pride 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Sweet Home Alabama Special S.) – Sweet Home Alabama Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kellys the Boss 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Pintlala 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Chamois’ Empire 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Unaffiliated 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Heza Royal Cat 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Strike a Bargain 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Kostroma’s Dancer 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Boone Land Express 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Megans Millions 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Pintora 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Our Hallie 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Ilimitada 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dreamed I Am Fast 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lyrical Music 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Pleading Guilty 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Short Stack 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Beat the Double 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Slim Causeway 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 Bold Exaggeration 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Stolen Art 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.