Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Premium | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly Tommy | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runway Magic | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Far Beyond | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chapel Barn | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Get Them Justin | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Machinegunpreacher | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Run | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardcore Folklore | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Munqad | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ballinonabudjet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Debbies Passage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bind On Earth | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aprettylulaby | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bay | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsnotmyjob | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Building Home | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Emma | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Jane | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stella’s Surprise | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Guitar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hurricane Tizway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Derby Day Lassie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Cyclone | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bobby Boy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Rob | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fruit Cup | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joseph H | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Maddox | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emily’s Boy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not Likely | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaotic Jack | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skinny Bobby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ferocity | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Beaux | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Wimbledon Bay | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Letstakeitoutside | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicago Chrome | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Target Practice | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mad Gold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knights Sword | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Consort | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jamaican Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Itellyouthefacts | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swift N Traffic | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Tom | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Vision | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nocomet | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forged in Steel | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Byathread | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Putthehammerdown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saber Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Play Master | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight’s Girl | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Have I Ever | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zero Point Zero | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sense of Flurry | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop Shop N Drop | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cayman Queen | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Grey Beauty | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marilyn’s Magic | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Ride Goodbye | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glance | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Bonus | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Izeonpoint | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Western Dream | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bows N Lace | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J Z’s First | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Start Well | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Side Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crystal d’Oro | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Storm | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unified Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fitts N Starts | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | World of Hurt | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arms Apriority | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zeerock | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Bertie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midnight Faith | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bandit’s Pride | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sweet Home Alabama Special S.) – Sweet Home Alabama Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kellys the Boss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pintlala | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chamois’ Empire | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unaffiliated | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Royal Cat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike a Bargain | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kostroma’s Dancer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boone Land Express | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Megans Millions | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pintora | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Hallie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ilimitada | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamed I Am Fast | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Music | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pleading Guilty | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Short Stack | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beat the Double | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slim Causeway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Exaggeration | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stolen Art | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.