Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sir Lumpalot 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Coronova 4.50 3.3 6-1
13 13 Carloun (IRE) 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ballyhoo Prince 5.00 5 10-1
8 8 Awesome Strike 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Celtic Sea 8.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Stormy Fire 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 California Ghost 30.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Lightning Lad 4.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Kbcya Later 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Rushin Tothecircle 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 King Swansboro 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eagle in Love 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mackenzie’s Novva 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gettin’downonit 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rollercoaster Man 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tirico 0.60 1 2-1
6 6 Xcellent Men 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Trustme Iamadoctor 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Tap Your Heart 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Clancy Fancy 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Napoleon’s War 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 The Queens Mage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cheers for Kitten 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Slippin Jimmy 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Aesthetically 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Boss Is a Pal 4.00 6 11-1
3 3 Putin Online 3.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Indefatigable 8.00 9 17-1
12 12 E. P. Milton 30.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Tenax 15.00 10.3 20-1
9 9 Bourbon Currency 12.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Our Hoisted Mast 15.00 12.2 23-1
11 11 Aristocratic 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Jareth 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Stanhope 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Military Drill 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Eddie the Great 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rominski 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cloud Music 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Thunderian 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Hay Chief 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Super Accelerate 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 No Easy Days 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ampersand 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Critical Threat 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 North Highland 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Aequor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Holey Moley 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Lunar Dash 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Golden Salute 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 King Covee 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Here’s Liam 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 The Big Enchilada 30.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Affamato 30.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Bad Lineage 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Swing Sammy 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Fazzani 30.00 13.3 25-1
12 12 Lunar Mission 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Harness Creek 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 We Got Lucky 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Heart of Fire 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cripple Creek 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Tio Tony 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fainor’s Filets 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Chublin 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Roanan Goddess 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Kissedbyanangel 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Forest Fuel 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Feelin So Lucky 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Momma’s Lino 30.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Low Society 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 True Sunshine 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Foxy Curl 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Leslie’s Loot 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Belle’s Blue Bell 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tocayo 0 0-1
11 11 Derbyness 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Massif 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Wine Collector 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Understudy Kitty 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Masakado 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Masterofhiscraft 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Street Rockin 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Cap Com 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Chica Chuck 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Tocayo 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Secret Zipper 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dance for Green 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Northern Glow 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wright Up Front 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Brzina 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Nymph 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Freccia d’Argento 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Loving Cup 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Caroline Krystyna 4.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Little Josie Wales 15.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Bella Bettina 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Crisper 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dear Santa 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Code Name 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Imagine It All 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Pavoni 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Landbiscuit 4.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Mr Matuschek 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Benny Havens 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Here Comes Billy 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 The Happy Giant 30.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Bryce Canyon 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Never Change 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Feral’s Joy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Minxzluckystarfyre 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sugar Hoof 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Eyes Eleven 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Tizawinner 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bowie Mun 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Simon’s Choice 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Gino Thinkaboutit 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Eric’s Gift 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.