Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Let Me Love You | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Team Gormley | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varsity | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wiseacre | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander Rex | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wave After Wave | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Missing Code | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edgy Lover | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pearl’s Earl | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’ll Do | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Slick Country Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Witt’s Jerry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomoremrniceguy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Vangilder | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Line | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Color Fast | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Peerless | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liars Club | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Exeter | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passthecat | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nomoremrniceguy | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caddo Fox | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Map | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Star Sailor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invariably | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Day Rebal | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Summerbird | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Flight | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dude Perfecta | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver and Gold | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Greydini | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Da Ringo | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J G Jett | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clamorous Bling | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casino Mo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Kinley | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Q B Twelve | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vestes | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deroy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Baby Liaison | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forty Strangers | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Carolina J | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Exotic’s Bear | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Dominus | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dens Deville | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Computation | 3.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Homegrown Legend | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyflyer | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jalen Journey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stans Home Run | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Stripe | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trappe Valley | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Hombre | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Extinguisher | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wrath | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifteen Love Back | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Far From Final | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Happy Boy Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangster Rap | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Math Mystery | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cato’s Lady | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Withherbootson | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cali | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gangster Rap | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kimbell’s Strategy | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazi | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Coalminer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Level | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenacious Lady | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Distinctive | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Dams Atitude | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrivaled Queen | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Paluxy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mano Dura | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dust Em | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seductive U S A | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catdaddy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunlit Song | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sonny Smack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Carlea’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Brock On By | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ocelot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Jose Patio | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Answer the Call | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Pay No Hay | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Cousin | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ogallala | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Adorable | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Bling | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anna Up | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baileys Shot | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laurie’s Secret | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divertida | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mitole Vision | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Bigger Bear | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.