Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Grazen Touch 5.00 1 2-1
6 5 Magic Wanderer 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 1 Hey Demps 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Illhaveanotherkiss 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Satoshi 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Dusty Springfield 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Blondzilla 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Stylish Dress 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 98 The Music We Make 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thompson 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Screaming Virginia 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Uncle Juju 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Ringtone 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Veritas Aequitas 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Details Matter 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Make It Snow 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Monarch Bay 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Happy Happy 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Machiavellique 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Beautiful Bolt 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Thirty Carats 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ice Dancing 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Violent Runner 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Doinitthehardway 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Outside the Law 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Smoothlikebuttah 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Angel Nadeshiko 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Avoir 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Oasis 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Visually 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Motet 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Circle of Trust 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Nakota (IRE) 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Glo Glo 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Amelia Bleu 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tiz Tok 0 0-1
9 9 Canelo 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tiz Tok 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Top Gun Classic 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 All the King’s Men 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cathedral Light 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Take Charge Curly 4.00 7 13-1
4 4 Star Prospect 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Warrens World 15.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Road of Love 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gimme Mo Baby 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rose Barton (IRE) 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Luminiferous 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 With Love (GB) 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Myfavoritedaughter 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Grace Period (FR) 3.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Yerwanthere (IRE) 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eligio 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Tapalo 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Sharpazano 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Midnight Love 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Right in Front 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Favoritism 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Gavea 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Schwarzmeier 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Lure S.) – Lure S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Visitant 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bally’s Charm 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hit the Road 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Easter (FR) 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Cabo Spirit 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 War At Sea 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Irideo (ARG) 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Shortman 50.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Astronomer 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.