Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Meko Makee 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Crafty Oaks 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Classy Image 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Chasing Bourbon 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Natural Star 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Cantucci 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Always a Way 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Well Actually 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just On Time 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Kantbackoff 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Muskoka Summer 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Silent Tribute 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Souper Cop 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Miss Vyvyanne 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Admissible 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rocket Riley 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reload’s Rascal 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Artie 1.20 1.9 4-1
5 5 Hilarious Affair 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Kinetic Stone 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 He’s Fully Loaded 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Highland Life 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Reload’s Rebel 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Maeve (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Erasmo’s Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Blazing Sky 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bayou Belle 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Wicked Miah 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Katchy Name 4.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Color Force 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Awildas Treasure 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Little Fire 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tawaret 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Painted Glory 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sassiness 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Flysofreeashleeb 3.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Heliocentric 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Playmate 8.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Storms of Life 20.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Good News Money 8.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 All for Honor 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hits Different 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Talking Wonders 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Trilling Song 10.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Tapping a Rhythm 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Haslemere 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mo Tough 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Time to Reload 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Love to Dream 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Shaystown 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Charlottes Road 3.00 1 2-1
15 15 Lois’ Courage 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 More Money Hunny 4.00 4.6 9-1
13 13 Vazhi 4.50 5.3 10-1
12 12 Lemon Sweets 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Ahbee 10.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Princess Jade 8.00 6.5 12-1
14 14 Beautiful Sky 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Lookin to Conquer 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 McKenzie Road 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Tipsy’s Empire 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Save the Bees 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Villi Olento 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Aspen Dawn 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dazzling Move 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Frost King S.) – Frost King S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Siesta Beach 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Yacht Boy 8.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 Junior Hot Shot 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 No More Options 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Garofoli 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hatmaker Gizmo 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Olivia Rose 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady Moonshine 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blueberry Fields 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Jumpin Junie 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Fish Mooney 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jab 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Royal Blush 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Makes Sense to Me 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (South Ocean S.) – South Ocean S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hurricane Clair 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Fourfiftyfour 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Olivia Rose 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lady Wellington 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Gradevole 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Red Eleanor 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Vandoo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 O Wow 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Humor Me Jim 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Telltale 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Krypto Gains 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Lillz Hope 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Helluva Holiday 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Gav’s Dream Girl 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Speedy Johny 15.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Crumlin Beast 4.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Ashlee’s Ring 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.