Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tongue Twister 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dusk 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Lil’ Hayadoin 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Saving Memories 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lu’s Redemption 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Handle On You 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Fabulous Fox 4.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Starlight Dancer 8.00 13.1 25-1
10 10 Baroness Bourbon 20.00 13.6 26-1
7 7 Learning to Fly 20.00 13.9 26-1
16 16 Necessaryandproper 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Call Her Bluff 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tsukimi 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Marco T. 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Elusive Fashion 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wild Magic 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Mohawk S.) – Mohawk S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spirit of St Louis 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 City Man 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Jerry the Nipper 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dakota Gold 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ruse 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Call Me Harry 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kaz Sugar Bank 50.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Noble Huntsman 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maid Of The Mist S.) – Maid Of The Mist S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Caldwell Luvs Gold 0.80 1 2-1
8 8 Lika Rolling Stone 15.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 My Mane Squeeze 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Bernietakescharge 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cara’s Time 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Kaz’ Rose 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Valentine Gift 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Tricky Temper 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Zeebear 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Disarmed 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Runningwscissors 2.50 3.5 7-1
14 14 Factually Correct 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 King Moonracer 10.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Radio Red 2.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sinful Dancer 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Steelersfanforlife 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Me ‘n Sap 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Big Package 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Phantom Smoke 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Yarrow 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Battle Scars 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rough Draft 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Empire Distaff S.) – Empire Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Venti Valentine 0 0-1
Know It All Audrey 0 0-1
7 7 Ichiban 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Venti Valentine 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tough Street 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Sunset Louise 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sweet Mystery 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Know It All Audrey 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 April Antics 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ticonderoga S.) – Ticonderoga S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Amanda’s Folly 0 0-1
8 8 Silver Skillet 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Amanda’s Folly 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Sweetie 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Saratoga Chrome 50.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Itsakeyper 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Spungie 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Runaway Rumour 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whatlovelookslike 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Waterville 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Can’t Fool Me 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Iroquois S.) – Iroquois S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Funny How 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Cairo Sugar 15.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sterling Silver 0.60 2.7 5-1
8 8 Leeloo 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Captainsdaughter 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bank On Anna 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Vallelujah 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Security Code 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Sleepy Hollow S.) – Sleepy Hollow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 El Grande O 0.80 1 2-1
10 10 Wine Responsibly 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Mischief Joke 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bonne Chance 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Aggelos the Great 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Solo’s Fury 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 B D Saints 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Skyler’s Starship 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Two’s a Crowd 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Detective Tom 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hudson S.) – Hudson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rotknee 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Today’s Flavor 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Win for Gold 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ny Traffic 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ocean’s Reserve 15.00 5 10-1
6 6 Amundson 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Thin White Duke 4.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Jemography 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Be the Boss 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Empire Classic S.) – Empire Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Olympic Dreams 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lobsta 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Drake’s Passage 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Barese 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Curlin’s Wisdom 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Un Ojo 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Straight Arrow 4.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Cicciobello 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 Aggregation 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.