Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Castle Leoch 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Margot’s Boy 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Flavius 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Eastern Ocean 1.80 3.5 7-1
7 7 Taishan 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Liberal (IRE) 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lansdowne (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Hello 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Big Novel 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ruff Ride 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Renegade Princess 2.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Tizzy Twister 2.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Flymetothemoonbaby 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Play Chicken 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Trusty Rusty 12.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Divine Rascal 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 El Oro (FR) 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 K P Kwest 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Brazenly 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 King Zog 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Red Falcon 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Logon to Win 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Barton Strong 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 John Dunbar 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Grand Tiger 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Cribbage Board 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Beyond Compare 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cornelia Fort 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Freedom Lass 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tiergarten 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Never Sway 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Shared Future 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ole Silver 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Issa Court 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Very Scary 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Signora Minister 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Unwritten Code 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Indy’s Star 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Professors’ Pride 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tapit Doux 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Crimson Rose 2.50 6.6 13-1
5 5 Bella Renella 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Perfect Flight 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Zoffarelli (IRE) 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Radical Right 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Noble Reflection 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Gregorian Chant (GB) 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Vantastic 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Daniel’s Magic 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Bran (FR) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Loretta Lynn 2.00 1 2-1
7 6 Lamporghini 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 7 Pura Vida 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Safa 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Be a Goldfish 12.00 3 6-1
3 2 Miss Miche Lada 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Smoove Over 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 98 Quick Kate 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nesso’s Lastharrah 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Maximum Capacity 8.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Track and Field 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Guy Named Joe 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Sine Qua Non 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tribal 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ambiguous 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Miracle Mark 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Dealers Special 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Gold Foot 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lake Superior 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.