Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Junipero Serra 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Shooter 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jaggersgotagun 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Runaway Charlie 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Giovannino 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Enahm 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Loose Wire 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sovereign Cause 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Celentano 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Cadfael 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Trebuchet 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Today 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Absolute Chairman 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dats True Love 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Astapovo 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Clive Cross 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Whaddya Mean 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classic Dancer 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hungry Wolf 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 More Than Five 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Uncaptured Moment 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mighty Sea 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Society’s Thunder 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Field Hockey 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Where Is Essa 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Silent Fortune 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rocket Joe Copper 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Derzkii 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Chairman Bob 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Kiddie Holiday 20.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Mad Dog N Joe 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Steak and Cheese 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Reliability 20.00 6.8 13-1
14 14 Monstrodamous 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Ready Hero 12.00 8 15-1
15 15 Half Lit 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Sunspear 20.00 10.3 19-1
9 9 Taradar 20.00 11 21-1
16 16 Kodiak Mamba (IRE) 20.00 12.5 24-1
6 6 Seguimi 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lion Kingdom 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Society Joe 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wagner 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Motion Granted 20.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Catholic Jackie 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Roscar 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fairway to Heaven 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hawkesbury 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Jo Daddy 4.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Gold Bonanza 12.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Beyond Adversity 20.00 8.1 15-1
14 14 Lakefield 8.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Naptown 3.00 9 17-1
11 11 Fifty B M G 10.00 10.9 21-1
13 13 Pet Sounds 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Maximus Magic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Conglomerate 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Kerouac 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Top of the Charts 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 British Royalty 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Niagara Skyline 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Elusive Knight 3.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Journeyman 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Taranto Titan 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Desolator 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Proven Strategies 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 J P Hellish 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Avoman 4.00 8.2 15-1
13 13 Call Curt 10.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Collective Force 6.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Winston Blue 10.00 9 17-1
12 12 Stowaway 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Palio 12.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Treasure King 12.00 10.8 20-1
7 7 Exude 12.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Green Fleet 20.00 12.4 23-1
8 8 Perfect Speighty 10.00 12.8 24-1
4 4 Stolen Money 20.00 12.9 24-1
10 10 Chamber Music 15.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tis a Pity 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Halaga 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Googly Eyes 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Cloud Storage 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Thunderheavyrain 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Machina 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Old Secrets 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Mi Corazon 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Golden Suzie 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Big Ginger 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 No More Diamonds 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Alberta Be Mine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Old Chestnut 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Reserve 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Souper Watson 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Rockcrest 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Senbei 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Roaring Forties 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Hazelbrook 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Jazz Hands 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Flag Of Honour (AUS) 6.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Silent Runner 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mia and Me 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grand Ambition 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Midnight Moonshine 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Graceful Fighter 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Bet N Win 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Adelaide Court 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Benlion 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 River of Babylon 12.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Lobby Bar 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Air Force Reserve 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Butwaitthere’smore 20.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Echo With Laughter 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Forest Star 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Walter Me Lad 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.