Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Junipero Serra |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Shooter |
20.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jaggersgotagun |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runaway Charlie |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Giovannino |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Enahm |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Loose Wire |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sovereign Cause |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Celentano |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cadfael |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trebuchet |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Today |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Absolute Chairman |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dats True Love |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Astapovo |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clive Cross |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Whaddya Mean |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Classic Dancer |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hungry Wolf |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
More Than Five |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Uncaptured Moment |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mighty Sea |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Society’s Thunder |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Field Hockey |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Where Is Essa |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Silent Fortune |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rocket Joe Copper |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Derzkii |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chairman Bob |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kiddie Holiday |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mad Dog N Joe |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Steak and Cheese |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reliability |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Monstrodamous |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ready Hero |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
15 |
15 |
Half Lit |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunspear |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Taradar |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
16 |
16 |
Kodiak Mamba (IRE) |
20.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
6 |
6 |
Seguimi |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lion Kingdom |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Society Joe |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Wagner |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Motion Granted |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catholic Jackie |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roscar |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fairway to Heaven |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hawkesbury |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jo Daddy |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gold Bonanza |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Beyond Adversity |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
14 |
14 |
Lakefield |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Naptown |
3.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fifty B M G |
10.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
13 |
13 |
Pet Sounds |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Maximus Magic |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Conglomerate |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Kerouac |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Top of the Charts |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
British Royalty |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Niagara Skyline |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elusive Knight |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Journeyman |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Taranto Titan |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Desolator |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Proven Strategies |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Canadian Pharoah |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
J P Hellish |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Avoman |
4.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Call Curt |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Collective Force |
6.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winston Blue |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Stowaway |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Palio |
12.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Treasure King |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
Exude |
12.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
9 |
9 |
Green Fleet |
20.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
8 |
8 |
Perfect Speighty |
10.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stolen Money |
20.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chamber Music |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tis a Pity |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Halaga |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Googly Eyes |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cloud Storage |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thunderheavyrain |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Machina |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Old Secrets |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mi Corazon |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Golden Suzie |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Ginger |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
No More Diamonds |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Alberta Be Mine |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Old Chestnut |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Secret Reserve |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Souper Watson |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rockcrest |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senbei |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roaring Forties |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hazelbrook |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jazz Hands |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flag Of Honour (AUS) |
6.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silent Runner |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mia and Me |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grand Ambition |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Moonshine |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Graceful Fighter |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bet N Win |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Adelaide Court |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Benlion |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
River of Babylon |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Lobby Bar |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Air Force Reserve |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Butwaitthere’smore |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
14 |
14 |
Echo With Laughter |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Forest Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Walter Me Lad |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.