Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Drinking Solo 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome for Sure 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 My Man Woody 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Rudy Rudy Rudy 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Raleigh St. Clair 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Solo in Paris 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Plate Special 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mudville Nine 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Fight Fiercely 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Deputy Connect 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Pine Valley 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Disappearance 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 South Street 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Charging 1.60 1 2-1
10 10 Kunshan Bridge 2.50 2.1 4-1
11 11 Giroovin 1.80 3.2 6-1
7 7 Kant Beat the Rock 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 R B’s the Boss 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Burn Jakey Burn 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Captain Quick 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Tivy 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Charlie Five O 3.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Tenebris 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 He’s Got It 10.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Volkert 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Street Swagg 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kupp 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 High Strike 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Joking Way 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Provision 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Narciso Dali 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 President Z 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Ride Up 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Starsinthecity 0 0-1
1 1 Naughty Destiny 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Starsinthecity 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Calling an Audible 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bossy Jeans 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Holder Close 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 She Takes Cash 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Bells Tolling 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 No Layups 4.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Miss City Girl 5.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Artemis Girl 15.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Tsukimi 30.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Assisi 20.00 10.5 20-1
14 14 Call Her Bluff 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Practical Royalty 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magic City 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Whenlovetakesover 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Frisky Jim 2.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Chalky Cat 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Little Skippy 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Growth Mindset 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Swing District 3.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Golden Purchase 30.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 I Love Cara 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Blame D Rule Maker 8.00 1 2-1
10 9 Barrel of Quests 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Good Rapport 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 1 Mama Banned Me 50.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Addicted to You 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Aruba 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Equaljusticeforall 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Internal Capital 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Carpe’s Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Zapruder 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Billy’s Got Issues 8.00 SCRATCH
12 11 No Regard 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Thethrillofvictory 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Into It 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mister Abarrio 10.00 SCRATCH
1 12 Emboite (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Full Screen 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Winit 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Castle Chaos 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Bourbon Calling 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 I Am the Law 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Synthesis 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Portos 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 No Salt 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Adero 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Alternate Reality 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Boxed Wine 0 0-1
2 2 Fast and Frisky 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dividend Recap 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Run for Your Honey 8.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Boxed Wine 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Alittlebitnaughty 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Jingle Jangle 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Speights Dance 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Grand Street 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dame Catherine 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Archivist 30.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Bertrille 30.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Lone Star Wildcat 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pretty Up 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ekwanok 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.