Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Naturalbornsender 0 0-1
8 8 Stolen Art 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Early Dawn 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Hidden Love 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 My New Palace 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Janis 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sweetheart Vision 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Move Forward Essie 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Naturalbornsender 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Hopeshecanrun 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Ez’s Kool Breeze 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Tensas Lu Lu 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bodi Odi 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucas Zip It 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cajun Ami 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Pitch and Run 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cajun Crazy 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 The Boss Soss 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Manly Deeds 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Gobot 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Heza Sexy Zong 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 King of Contraband 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Thisguycanfly 15.00 9 17-1
12 12 Josan 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Peanut N Ike 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run Carlos 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Steauxlit 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 K R Power Storm 12.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Josie’s Priority 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 I’m a Night Train 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Rock Solid Words 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Happy Season 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Mymanrowen 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Tripple D Ruller 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 He’s a Good Chap 6.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 Charlie’s Parade 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Pal’s Alarm 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheza Salty Gal 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dr Stricklands Ace 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Cherry Star 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Beulah K 4.50 7.1 13-1
10 10 Tdz Corrienda Star 3.50 8.5 16-1
3 3 Chickietown Star 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Julio Choice 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Lake Bali 10.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Zipping Molly 10.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Nownowdancer 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Escape 12.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Uncle Frank 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Biloxi 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Wise Verdict 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Life Is a Banquet 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Vietnam Victory 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Silent Power 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Double Star 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miles D 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Taps Mistress 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Good by Faith 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 No Cost 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Jocasta 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Storm Ghost 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 C C Llam 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Unlucky in Love 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tiz Medaglia 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Harlans Warrior 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 L G Girl 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 A Wish for Madelyn 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Storm Breach 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Batty 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Be a Bandit 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 She’s My Priority 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Cyber Sneaker 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Draft Choice 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hostile Afleet 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Coolcross 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Muffin Nuts 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Freedomfi 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 I’ll Raise You 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Fast Verdict 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pure Malice 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Free Drop Rob 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Papa Flew Bombers 4.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Funnyflame 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Dynamic Sun 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Late Night Cruiser 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Irish Moon 3.50 7.9 15-1
9 9 Clearing Customs 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Minor Discrepancy 15.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Myturntodeal 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.