Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Belmont Bill | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vagabond Shoes | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Virat | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Rhythm | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s Last | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirty Four Coupe | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mars On Fire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Powertrain | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lonesome Stew | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Castleknock | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ze’bul | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rutherford | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Side by Side | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riley G | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Mo | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bangs | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Storming Gray | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazzy Boo | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rastaman Vibe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stick Shift | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Boss | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Island Cruiser | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sketchy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wendelssohn | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aint No Joke | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let Seamus Go | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Rey Rey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Lynn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherlyn Go Go | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Taylor | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Back On the Street | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Purpose | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Sugar | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Equity (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tio Magico | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Percolate (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aligato | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Avenue | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Sarwar (FR) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Bring Crazy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blissterinthesun | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Gal | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s My Niece | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Criticism | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petite Ange | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We’ll Do It Live | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Song of Shadows | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Ju Forget | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamonds Danzing | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Pompeii | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Again | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sensible Move | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Empress | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Mama | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blessed Angel | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blackened | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ila Veiw Too | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Like No Other | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paid in Gold | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ropers N Wranglers | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aventapp | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.