Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 2, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Belmont Bill 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Vagabond Shoes 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Virat 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Awesome Rhythm 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Eddie’s Last 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Thirty Four Coupe 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mars On Fire 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Powertrain 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Lonesome Stew 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Castleknock 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ze’bul 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rutherford 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Phosphorescence (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Side by Side 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Riley G 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dancing Mo 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Bangs 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Storming Gray 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Jazzy Boo 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rastaman Vibe 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Stick Shift 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Final Boss 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Island Cruiser 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sketchy 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wendelssohn 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Aint No Joke 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Let Seamus Go 5.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 El Rey Rey 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gypsy Lynn 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sherlyn Go Go 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Awesome Taylor 15.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Back On the Street 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 On Purpose 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sugar Sugar 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Barbera 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cash Equity (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
7 6 Tio Magico 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Percolate (IRE) 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Aligato 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Avenue 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Carmelita’s Man 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 98 Sarwar (FR) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Don’t Bring Crazy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blissterinthesun 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Stormy Gal 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 She’s My Niece 4.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Criticism 2.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Petite Ange 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 We’ll Do It Live 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Song of Shadows 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Don’t Ju Forget 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Diamonds Danzing 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Queen of Pompeii 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Golden Again 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sensible Move 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Roman Empress 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Hot Rod Mama 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blessed Angel 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Blackened 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ila Veiw Too 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Like No Other 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Warren’s Show Bizz 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Paid in Gold 10.00 4 7-1
2 2 Ropers N Wranglers 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Aventapp 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.