Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Backstretch Rose 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Paradise Lane 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Catherine Wheel 1.60 3.5 7-1
10 10 Helcia 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Philanthropy 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wake Up Lauren 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Sweet Distraction 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Public Defender 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Extra Dirty 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rye Tigress 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Chuck Willis (IRE) 1.20 1 2-1
10 12 Poppy’s Pride 1.80 4.6 9-1
2 2 King James 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 11 Printrack 2.50 8.9 17-1
8 10 Bronx Bomber 5.00 9.1 17-1
3 4 Handsome Cat 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Mid Day Image 1.20 SCRATCH
5 6 Maxwell Esquire 3.50 SCRATCH
4 5 Noble Emotion 8.00 SCRATCH
1B 7 Phantom Smoke 1.20 SCRATCH
6 8 Ranger Fox 4.50 SCRATCH
1X 13 Horn of Plenty 1.20 SCRATCH
7 9 Battle Scars 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Turnback The Alarm S.) – Turnback The Alarm S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bellamore 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Interstatedaydream 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Tizzy in the Sky 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Morning Matcha 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Fireline 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Girl Jal 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Will Be Famous 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Now Showing 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Shasi 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Best Coast 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Baby Sox 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bustin Hot 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Alice Kramden 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Karen’s Honor 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Alterina 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Clover Street 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Solib 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Reigning Chick 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Duckphat 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Big Bean Christine 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Dashing Della 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Fancypants Juliana 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Iced Mocha 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Maggie T 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dunedin Causeway 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rob the Bank 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Frozen Four 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dillon 20.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Solo Rye’d 15.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Instamatic 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Hard Par 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Sweet Tone 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Brown Don’t Stop 12.00 6 11-1
11 11 Charging Fast 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 The Paddock Pastor 6.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Jeffersons Ocean 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Az U Chase Me 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hoya 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 One Witheverything 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Engine 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Charging Aero 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 F F Rocket 10.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Bourbon’s Hope 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Pogi 5.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Flamingo Hawk 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Bustin Shout 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Allaboutthemoney 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Air Show 4.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Counterfeitcurency 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Dreams of Tomorrow 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Call Me Harry 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Main Event 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Safe Conduct 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 4 Public Sector (GB) 2.50 3.5 7-1
1A 9 Unanimous Consent (GB) 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Me and Mr. C 3.50 SCRATCH
9 10 Kinetic Sky 1.40 SCRATCH
10 11 Baby Yoda 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 King Vega (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crupi 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Winters Lion 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Tabeguache 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Army Times 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dats Mr. Mo 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Drake’s Passage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eric From Miami 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ez Roll 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Vin Santo 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Albedo 10.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Unaudited 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 King Freud 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Scoop the Pot 30.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Officer Derick 10.00 7 13-1
13 13 Dixie Pharaoh 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Jhirsch 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Rabaja 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 English Castle 5.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Morq 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Patronage 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Charles J 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.