Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Backstretch Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Lane | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Catherine Wheel | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Helcia | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Philanthropy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wake Up Lauren | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Distraction | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Public Defender | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Extra Dirty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rye Tigress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 12 | Poppy’s Pride | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King James | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Printrack | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Bronx Bomber | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Handsome Cat | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Day Image | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Maxwell Esquire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Noble Emotion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1B | 7 | Phantom Smoke | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 8 | Ranger Fox | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 13 | Horn of Plenty | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 9 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Turnback The Alarm S.) – Turnback The Alarm S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bellamore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Interstatedaydream | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy in the Sky | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Matcha | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fireline | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Jal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Will Be Famous | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Now Showing | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shasi | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Coast | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Sox | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Hot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alice Kramden | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Honor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alterina | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clover Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solib | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reigning Chick | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duckphat | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bean Christine | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Della | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancypants Juliana | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iced Mocha | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maggie T | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dunedin Causeway | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rob the Bank | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frozen Four | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dillon | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solo Rye’d | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Instamatic | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Par | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Tone | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Don’t Stop | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charging Fast | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Paddock Pastor | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jeffersons Ocean | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Az U Chase Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hoya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | One Witheverything | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Engine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Aero | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | F F Rocket | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pogi | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flamingo Hawk | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bustin Shout | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutthemoney | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Show | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Counterfeitcurency | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Harry | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Main Event | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Safe Conduct | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Me and Mr. C | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Kinetic Sky | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Baby Yoda | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | King Vega (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crupi | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winters Lion | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tabeguache | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Army Times | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dats Mr. Mo | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drake’s Passage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eric From Miami | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ez Roll | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vin Santo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Albedo | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unaudited | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Freud | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scoop the Pot | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Officer Derick | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dixie Pharaoh | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jhirsch | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rabaja | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Castle | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Morq | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Patronage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Charles J | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.