Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Affirm Chief |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
G Victory |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turn On the Magic |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chaosmos |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mias Moonbeam |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Indimaaj |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nate’s Revenge |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bode’s Light |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Clever Union |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hunters Ghost |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Delta Mile S.) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Touchuponastar |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Five Star General |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miles D |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zestful |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holden the Lute |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caseys Memory |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strong Eagle |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monaasib |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ballinonabudjet |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Katonah |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cool Ride |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Loudthundrhevyrain |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pop’s Peppysteper |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Summertime Peppers |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Monsieur Candy |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cool Ride |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Craken Jax |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Frenetic Day |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hit the Bullseye |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Matzoh Ball |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
A G’s Gem |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tdzshininluckystar |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Patek |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Farmer |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Valtesse |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gypsyroselee |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Courtly Doc |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Caliente Lady |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boston Paulette |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Where’s Aunt J |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tolatetoowait |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scrapbook |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sky High Susan |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Run Natalie Run |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
R T’s Gem |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
My Pal Mattie |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pickens |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Prizeless |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alterana |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Janets Jay Jay |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Bert |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scarlettsblackjack |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Not On Herb |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Man Louie |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Carpe Horseshoe |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Katie’s Karat |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Girl Pro |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cashew |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Angela’s Celerity |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Xcaret |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roses Are Gray |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Like Fine Wine |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Catcake |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hittin My Stride |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Katies Spirit |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
City Ghost |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Graceofcaroline |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runtolive |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Tsunami |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bedowntofoolaround |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Extra |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Nana’s Corn Muffin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Treasure Chest S.) – Treasure Chest S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Adaline Julia |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yuki (CHI) |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz a Macho Girl |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clay’s Moon Stone |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toffee |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fannie and Freddie |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
In the Arch |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentleman’s Secret |
4.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yo Dawg |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jaysker |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Timehascome |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dusty Hill |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Halo Moon |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Macho Forty Five |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.