Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Affirm Chief 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 G Victory 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Turn On the Magic 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Chaosmos 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mias Moonbeam 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Indimaaj 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Nate’s Revenge 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Bode’s Light 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Clever Union 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Hunters Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Delta Mile S.) – Delta Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Touchuponastar 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Five Star General 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Miles D 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Zestful 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Holden the Lute 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Caseys Memory 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Strong Eagle 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Monaasib 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Ballinonabudjet 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Katonah 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cool Ride 0 0-1
2 2 Loudthundrhevyrain 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pop’s Peppysteper 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Summertime Peppers 4.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Monsieur Candy 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Cool Ride 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Craken Jax 12.00 4 8-1
11 11 Frenetic Day 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Hit the Bullseye 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Matzoh Ball 15.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 A G’s Gem 20.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Tdzshininluckystar 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Patek 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dixie Farmer 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Valtesse 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gypsyroselee 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Courtly Doc 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 El Caliente Lady 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Boston Paulette 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Where’s Aunt J 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tolatetoowait 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Scrapbook 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Sky High Susan 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Run Natalie Run 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 R T’s Gem 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Pal Mattie 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Pickens 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Prizeless 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Alterana 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Janets Jay Jay 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Wild Bert 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Scarlettsblackjack 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Not On Herb 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 My Man Louie 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Carpe Horseshoe 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Katie’s Karat 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Girl Pro 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cashew 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Angela’s Celerity 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Xcaret 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Roses Are Gray 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Like Fine Wine 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Catcake 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hittin My Stride 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Katies Spirit 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 City Ghost 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Graceofcaroline 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Runtolive 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 American Tsunami 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Bedowntofoolaround 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 She’s Extra 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Nana’s Corn Muffin 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Treasure Chest S.) – Treasure Chest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Adaline Julia 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Yuki (CHI) 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tiz a Macho Girl 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Clay’s Moon Stone 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Toffee 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Fannie and Freddie 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 In the Arch 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gentleman’s Secret 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Yo Dawg 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Jaysker 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Timehascome 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Dusty Hill 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Halo Moon 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Macho Forty Five 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.