Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Offshore Affair 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sicilia Mike 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ahsad 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Doin’ittherightway 6.00 2 4-1
3 3 Girolamo’s Attack 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 I Am That I Am 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tiny Tin 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Secretary At War 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Goodluckchuck 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aristocratic 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bazoo 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Dark Timber 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Redeem Eddie 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 My Beau 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Creative Cloud 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mister Banjoman 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lost in Newyork 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Coach Adams 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brother Brad 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Runaway Ready 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Loose Goose 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Krug 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sagrada Ray 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Praline’s Cat 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Starstreet 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Call Me Maestro 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Awkward Pause 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Notion to Tapit 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Summer Ash 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Touch Code 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Edward Madden 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 The Bearrish One 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Papa Jimmy 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Steele Money 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mean Tweets 10.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Carico 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Sidney’s Bid 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Keranos 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Tapaterm 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Casey’s Law 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Tucker Road 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 O T C Wiz 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Love Me Archie 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Saafen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cartwheel 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 My Boss Lady 3.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Chloe Rose 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Epicurean 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Purrfect Mistress 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Playera 8.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Paynt by Number 10.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Chalk Hill 10.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Kirby 5.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Square Peg 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arch Street 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Cha Cha Chukka 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Shining Spirit 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Namora 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Miss Amazing 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Wise Miss 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sky Victory 3.50 6.3 12-1
6 6 Trick of the Light 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blue Ember 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It’s Her Time 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bossyness 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 My Maggie Moo 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Makemebelieve 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Reckless Kelly 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Heybackatcha 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Humor Sense 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Preparefortakeoff 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 One Tough Dame 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Avatal Hero 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sister Supream 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Bodacious Bren 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mystic Storm 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Three Carats 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Wild Army Brat 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.