Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Robust 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Skippa 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tha Illest Deal 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Marketbook 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dial Uncle Joey 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Smooth River 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flash Freddie 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Roll On Out 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Jesuit 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Cottonclub Soldier 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Wicked Tough 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lunch Lady 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bootsie’s Galaxy 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Carbon Stryker 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Seize the Treasure 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Boyfriend Material 15.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Liken It 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Jazzy Justin 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Paynt Battle 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 B W P Special 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Americain Joey 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 I Will Stand 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Izzy’s Baby Boy 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Duke of Blue Ridge 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Girl Likes Bling 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Custom Sunshine 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 F J’s Chaos 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Takeover Queen 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Mighty Flynn 8.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Jet Rocket 20.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Ruled by Spirit 6.00 9 17-1
2 2 Soy Tu Suerte 15.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Raise the Alarm 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 No Fear 10.00 9.7 18-1
12 12 Ido Solemnly Swear 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 One Line Ruler 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Veterans Day 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 My Lil Dude 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Drewmazing 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Hoosier 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Salute Now 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Theo d’Or 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Wood River 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Risky Priority 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Double Edge Sword 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Alleva 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bettabe Bourbon 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Prado’s Priority 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Tapit’s Spirit 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ocean of Storms 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Rithm Nic 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Mister K 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Copter 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sturgill 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Corot 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mongolian Bee 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Foolish Boy 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Flashy Lover 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Arkansas Zong 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Lisa’s Guy 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pal’s Alarm 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Catalina Day 3.50 6.1 12-1
1 1 Kilo Key 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Flash of Rain 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Wauchula 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Exacta 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Dance Lady 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Legendary Gift 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Georgia Dawn 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 New Year’s Party 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Four Princesses 4.50 7.6 14-1
5 5 Charged Temp 8.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 See Sassy Run 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Miss Billie K 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Won Day 0 0-1
6 6 Lovelyredstilettos 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Snowball 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Won Day 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Miss Jana 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Blessed Assurance 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Say What 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Ours and Theirs 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Iron N Steel 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lakeside Rumble 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Grosse Tete Ian 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Windtapper Win 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Midnight Crown 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Royal de Be 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Camaleon 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Just Because 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Indefensible Town 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Pop Pop Mike 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Holiday Forever 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 A Fool for Carlos 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.