Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gran Tricxy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Survival Rose 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Miguel’s Belle 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Diva Ballerina 12.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 My Sweetheart Dani 20.00 4 7-1
5 5 Taking It All 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 In American 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Umbral 12.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 No Fake 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Our Magic Princess 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 I Love Venezuela 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 R Firebird 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Whats Goin On 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Blazingly 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Girl Bye 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Preemption 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Amor Y Control 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Raw Honey 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Velocissima 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Light and Path 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Tower 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Tapit Three Times 15.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Decisive Warrior 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bee a Sky Beam 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Cinzento 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Kingy 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Jake’s Affection 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Texas Air Force 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Always Be Smart 0 0-1
Always Be Smart 0 0-1
4 4 Merit 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Regular Army 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Modern Lane 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Always Be Smart 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Paris Surprise 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Cacique Abarrio 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Reggae Man 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mohay Please 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Armed Forces S.) – Armed Forces S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Freedom Principle 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Reminder 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Brawn 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Prevent 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 El Principito 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Praiseworthy 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Summer Storm Stric 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 El Chato 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Apuro 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kinsman Redeemer 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Salvattore Prince 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Sabian 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Amazing Jett 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Noble Star 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Guaicaipuro 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Swiss Slang 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marthamaywhovier 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Black Ice 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 How Bout Dat 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shemightdancesalsa 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Ashleigh 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Burn the Breeze 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wildcat Lunita 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Upstreet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zarak (CHI) 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mamba On Three 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Full Disclosure 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Uncle B 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Rockin Roller 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Detroit City 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 No Name Dude 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Cheerful Charlie 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Extendo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mo Vanishing 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Classic Mo Town 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Bold Advance 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Media Sensation 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Truth and Honesty 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Christensen 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 The Mar 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Belly of Jelly 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Chacharero 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Showing Up S.) – Showing Up S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Amstrong 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Souper Blessing 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Smart Striker 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Eyes On the King 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mutaawid 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Anamnestic 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 McMoney 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ari Gold 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Love Me Not 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gooch Go Bragh 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Xy Time 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Grande Soiree 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Pound Green 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Burning Man 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Cupid’s Dude 4.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Timmy M. 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 El Socio 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Tiz a Prince 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wicked Suprise 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.