Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Soupersilverdollar 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Maryland Moon 4.50 1.3 3-1
11 11 Go Take Charge 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 High Stakes 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cripple Creek 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 World Factor 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Tio Tony 8.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Dyna Blast 3.50 5 10-1
14 14 Blind Eye 4.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Fleets Bay 3.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Photo Copy 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Foe 30.00 10.3 19-1
9 9 Harness Creek 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Changing the Karma 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Collect From Ike 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Longworth 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Frog Town 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sponsored 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Island d’Lite 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Shackinthebox 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Smooth Rico 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Rascally Rebel 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Sweet Asta 30.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Pressing Concern 4.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Phra Phrom 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dark and Fitzy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Between the Covers 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Jackson Road 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Gettin’downonit 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Reel Well 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Larger Than Life 30.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 King Swansboro 4.00 7 13-1
9 9 Mackenzie’s Novva 20.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Love Me Archie 50.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Andrez Conquist 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Labarde 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bold Hoppertunity 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Uncle Jake 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Poggibonsi 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mama G’s Wish 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Beneath the Stars 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Violent Vixen 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mattitude 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Canoodle 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Bourbon Wildcat 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Smoochinwithcindy 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Deeds of Love 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Afandi 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mainline 6.00 1.9 3-1
2 2 La Cienega 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Above the Limit 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Gastown Babe 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Whiteknuckleflyer 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Roselba 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Kalenjin 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bitty Boss 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Next Episode 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Supremacy 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Foolish Ghost 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Shackled Love 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Indian Lake 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bob Marco 1.40 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jeopardy James 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Big Rowdy Dan 30.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Treasure Tradition 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Street Hustle 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amplio Esquema 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Proper Storm 3.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Daily Planet 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Please Marry Me 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mosalah 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hot Choice 50.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Carmel Sunrise 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Water Witch 10.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Moving in Stereo 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Misquillo 50.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Mary Jane Chrome 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Getaway Palace 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hot Bottom Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Exculpate 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gogo Chanel 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Louise Brooks 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peyton Elizabeth 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Saddle Up Jessie 0.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 I Can Run 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Tic Tic Tic Boom 30.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Haint Blue 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dry Well 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Gamestonks 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ruda 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Thisnameisokay 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tequilera 6.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Flanigan’s Cove 1.40 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bali Kuta 30.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 In a Spin 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Galilei 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Surya 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Gun Boat 2.50 5.2 10-1
11 11 Gypsy Reward 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Chelichna 30.00 7 13-1
13 13 Blue Times 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 On the Shortlist 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Eidikos (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jackson’s Dixie 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Coal Mine 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 One Las Olas 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Irish Lace 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Voodoo Mama Juju 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mysisternancy 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Earley Rose 5.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.