Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twixter 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sunyani 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Spanish Serenade 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Eva’s Record 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Manetka 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Hard Rock Warrior 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Ngabe 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 So Breanna 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Summer Snow 1.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Passion to Please 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Valley Girl 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Eye Got It Good 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Baby Mo 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Wake Up Maggie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Babbo 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Legs Like Flatter 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Party 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Pontiac 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bravo Kate 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Ready to Jam 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Unified Front 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Swirling Dancer 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Rifling 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Social Drinker 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Give Me the Boots 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Alberta Be Mine 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Spirit Belle 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Nadiabizniz 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saucy Name 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Echo Seven 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Porshas Run 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Kitty’sspeedystarr 3.50 7 13-1
7 7 Just Follow Me 5.00 7 13-1
8 8 Go Giffen 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 A. A. Minerva 8.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Silent Passion 10.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Prairie Sky 12.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Clarayouthebest 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Girl Della 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Vucchella 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Blitz 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Quality Presence 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Inudation 4.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Saccharine 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Goodnightngodbless 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Villi Olento 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Shakshuka 10.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Six for a Nine 12.00 10.4 20-1
4 4 Rush to Glory 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper Flashy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jill 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Veery 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Cara Cara 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Verdejo 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ima Beast 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Indian Music 10.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Souper Pecan 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Grey S.) – Grey S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Pipit 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 King Rosso 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Midnight Mascot 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Jayhawk 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Break the Spell 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Tunechi 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Piper’s Factor 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Two Ghosts 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sherif Ali 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Simply in Front 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mazarine S.) – Mazarine S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mystic Lake 0 0-1
5 5 Tripolina 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Witwatersrand 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Simply in Front 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Uphill Dance 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mystic Lake 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 That Girl Artemus 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mosler’s Image 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Floral 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Pino in a Purse 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cefalo 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Blazing Sky 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Simple Souvenir 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Speedy Lynn 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Cleomenes 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Silent Ghost 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.