Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Pantaleo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Agra | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street View | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitole Magic | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Echo Baybe (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Radiant Queen | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | San Pantaleo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fleur Delacour | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kant Hurry Love | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frank’s Rockette | 0.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Green Up | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Into Happiness | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Nashua S.) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Where’s Chris | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Book’em Danno | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yo Yo Candy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Desire | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billal | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Chris | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Why Waste Words | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Sure Thing | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Pool | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Princess | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starts Now | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Akayla (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remind (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madaket’s Arrow | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delahaye | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tooshay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Paris Style (FR) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Security Code | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’mhavingamoment | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Panther | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awillaway | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caragate | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Give Me Kisses | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Sight | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free to Roam | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freddymo Factor | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loon Cry | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Up and Down | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lisa’s Vision | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost My Sock | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bossy Diva | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Violet Gibson (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Howzyourcashflow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mia (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mistical Curlin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sundaeswithsandy | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Chic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suerte | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fenwick | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rivalry | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standard of Proof | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Quartet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Equaljusticeforall | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Allure | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caitlinhergrtness | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vino Rouge | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfectly Wicked | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Primera Vista | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enfuega | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle’s Blue Bell | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caress | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vicountess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bomb Squad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arisaema | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Berning Honor | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stone of Destiny | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jannie Mae | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sperss | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinstripepizzo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Barb | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purest Performance | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dramatic Effect | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Royal Vow | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strange Fruit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lieutenant’slegacy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.