Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
San Pantaleo 0 0-1
7 7 Agra 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Street View 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mitole Magic 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Echo Baybe (IRE) 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Radiant Queen 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 San Pantaleo 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Curlin’s Girl 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Fleur Delacour 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kant Hurry Love 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Frank’s Rockette 0.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Green Up 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Into Happiness 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Royal Meghan 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Nashua S.) – Nashua S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Where’s Chris 0 0-1
2 2 Book’em Danno 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Yo Yo Candy 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Private Desire 1.20 3 6-1
1 1 Billal 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Where’s Chris 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Why Waste Words 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 I’m a Sure Thing 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dark Pool 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 War Princess 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Starts Now 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Akayla (IRE) 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Remind (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Madaket’s Arrow 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Delahaye 1.80 6.7 13-1
10 10 Tooshay 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Paris Style (FR) 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Security Code 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 I’mhavingamoment 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Mongolian Panther 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Awillaway 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Caragate 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Give Me Kisses 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Wicked Sight 6.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Free to Roam 15.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Freddymo Factor 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Loon Cry 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Up and Down 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Lisa’s Vision 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Kerry 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lost My Sock 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Candle 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bossy Diva 30.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Violet Gibson (IRE) 6.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Howzyourcashflow 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lady Mia (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mistical Curlin 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Sundaeswithsandy 10.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Quality Chic 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Suerte 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Fenwick 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rivalry 1.80 3.8 7-1
1 1 Certified Loverboy 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Standard of Proof 5.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Cool Quartet 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Equaljusticeforall 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shimmering Allure 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Caitlinhergrtness 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Vino Rouge 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Perfectly Wicked 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 A Primera Vista 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Don’t Tell Kelly 30.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Enfuega 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Belle’s Blue Bell 15.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Caress 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vicountess 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bomb Squad 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Arisaema 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Berning Honor 8.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Stone of Destiny 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Jannie Mae 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sperss 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Pinstripepizzo 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Miss Barb 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Purest Performance 20.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Dramatic Effect 50.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 My Royal Vow 12.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Strange Fruit 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lieutenant’slegacy 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.