Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Autism Compassion | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cry If I Want To | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late Nite Lizzie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isa Lei | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Lake | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bump in the Night | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Skye | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redheadedstranger | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Again | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spielman | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mullion | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquick | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiron | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bearings | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artwell | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pigalle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldcrest | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chica de Oro | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s Love | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Center Stage | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Dixie | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Bound | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stormquist | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J T’s Imagination | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoothdini | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Family Factor | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Mark | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ham Sandwich | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dunphy | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hey Joe Joe | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuevo Amanecer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mischievousness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Rose | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halina’s Forte | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace and Glory | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Round the Town | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Route Sixty Six | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freeburn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abundant Life | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Branch | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aztec Empress | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Churchtown | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dreaming | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Atlantique | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winfromwithin | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hozier | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skyro | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray’s Fable | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz the Bomb | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spycraft | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nifty | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coyote Road | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friar Laurence | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Appeal Denied | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Cool Dude | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stonevicious | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Prince | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Kitten | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Air Combat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Attache | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Luck | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Under Oath | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rider’s Special | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Hour Bobby | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Broken Rib | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand for Freedom | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Greys the Boy | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | League of Legends | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Midnight | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baba Voss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Curlin | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Event Detail | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Idratherbeblessed | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ok Boomer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Gatlinburg | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Award | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karma Director | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Read On | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miranda Rights | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tall Boy | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clear the Air | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Midnight Rising | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stonemont Reunion | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | El Ahijado | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| Tall Boy | 17 | 32-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.