Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Anthem | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderfulvenezuela | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fumblerooski | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Sun Dress | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maelstrom Spirit | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tourist Style | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chaina | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neogem | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Awesome Sauce | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grandma’s Pudding | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kilkenny Bella | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Never So Lucky (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Divine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cerchi | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Millie Jean | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vibing | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abby’s Plaid | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silly Lily | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juliet’s Rose | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teasing | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ember | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make Decisions | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mannix (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keanu | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Montana Man | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Flash | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emergency Response | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gonna Be Epic | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goats On a Tree | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spunforfun | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Myth | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sadie the Goat | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flower Mound | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Venezuela | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Girlstormy | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Broken Banker | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyful Lass | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ravenna | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Palace for Mom | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shining Skye | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maybe Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Flame | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Exchange | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Major King | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shastree | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Attitude | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Macallan | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Getaway | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nature Boy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heaven in Mind | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pardy Pleaser | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaitie Kait | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bedrock Birdie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anajuliaforever | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Gift | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chilling Factor | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bucchera | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highly Flammable | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extendo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loyal Louie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gepard | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Startonahighnote | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rigel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thatsafactjack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Brother | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Felix | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Distractor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m a Beast | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Figureti (CHI) | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spankster | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Boy Benny | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Haste | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hercules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Flay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.