Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Caribbean King 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Legislator 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Ghost Coast 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Captain Choochies 15.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Uncle Reg 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Khantaro d’Oro 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Precision Strike 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 My Partner Glen 50.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Surf Affair 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Bert’s Prospect 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Sea of Cortez (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Teddy’s Triumph 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Pleaseusetheportal 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Grazen Boy 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Thirsty Lov 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Winning Big 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Seaseid Ride 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Sir Looking Glass 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Grazed 0 0-1
8 8 Gypsy King 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hawker 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 King Apollo 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mister Iceman 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 X J Rascal (IRE) 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Grazed 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lemon Sushi 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Adare 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bossy Bruin Gal 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Capo Sorella 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Indian Dreamer 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Coconut Girl 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Almost Got Lucky 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Golden and Blue 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Love Honor and Pay 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Paco’s Pico 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Handr’sdream 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Stormy Samurai 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Big Swede 2.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Quick Finish 3.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Foreign Protocol 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sonic Brees 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Goldikova S.) – Goldikova S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hamwood Flier (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Queen Goddess 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Closing Remarks 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Eddie’s New Dream 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Full Count Felicia 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lucky Girl (IRE) 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tahoe Secrets 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 I’m a Lucky Man 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Too Much Info 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tangledupingrey 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Heartbreak Kid 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Spiritist 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Kislovodsk 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Warrens World 20.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Jimmy the Boot 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Stan From Malibu 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 New York Dreams (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Miss S.) – Autumn Miss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Ruby Nell 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Impact Warrior (IRE) 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Breath Away (GB) 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Anisette (GB) 1.60 2 4-1
8 7 Coffee in Bed 6.00 4 8-1
10 9 Tea N Conversation 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Justique 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 98 Alternate Rock 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Free and Humble 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Be Your Best (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Star of The Night (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moose Mitchell 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Disco Ball 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Patron d’Oro 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 It’s My House 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Redline 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Stay in the Game 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 My Ransom 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baj 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stamp My Passport 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Crosby Beach 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Santo Dios (ARG) 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Evening Sun (GB) 6.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Irish Prophet 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Del Mar Jerry 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Reckless Spirit 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Eastbound 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Lahaina Flavor 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Living Life 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.