Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Is Golden | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liplock | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oheavens | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khozzy Valintine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Miah | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacenza | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Someone Else | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Suzie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guildsman (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Master Spy | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lenny K | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dragon’s Brew | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Race for Pinks | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Ro | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Joe | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Giant | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half to Reload | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decimator | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | C C’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desolator | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Newport Agent | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Ending | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Drive | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hell Bent | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Prince | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Is a Breeze | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spring Mountain | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Pharoah | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Thread of Blue | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Claws | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vanbrugh | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Embrace My Uncle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | H C Holiday | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Sahib | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Money | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Souper Attentive | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jokestar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dresden Row | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent and Violent | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stud Muffin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pet Sounds | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitality | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus Magic | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finalist | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seguimi | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timeskip | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coleyville | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Society Joe | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamondback | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Synchromesh | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambointheforest | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Teddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aim for the Sky | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galvaston | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Lamp | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asyoubelieve | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Fury | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bachelor Pad | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maakwa | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rat Portage | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn S.) – Autumn S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tyson | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Bomber (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win for the Money | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artie’s Storm | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckman | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scoot Daddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Told It All | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Have a Souper Day | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Animal | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapsasional | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bode’s Tipsy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Edge | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Journeyman | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | So Called Vacation | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chairman Rainbow | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fabled Prince | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coherence | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One True Gentleman | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hygge | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Tempesta | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Road to Versailles | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Demba | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Model S | 12.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just for Maddie | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ask in My Name | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.