Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sugar Is Golden 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Liplock 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Oheavens 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Khozzy Valintine 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Wicked Miah 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Pacenza 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Someone Else 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Stormy Suzie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Guildsman (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Master Spy 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Lenny K 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dragon’s Brew 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Race for Pinks 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Rockstar Ro 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Commander Joe 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Dixie Giant 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Half to Reload 20.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Decimator 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 C C’s Kingdom 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Desolator 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Newport Agent 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Strong Ending 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sunrise Drive 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Hell Bent 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Native Prince 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Seven Is a Breeze 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Spring Mountain 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Canadian Pharoah 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 A Thread of Blue 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cupid’s Claws 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Vanbrugh 2.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Embrace My Uncle 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 H C Holiday 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sir Sahib 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Stolen Money 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Souper Attentive 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jokestar 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dresden Row 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Silent and Violent 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Stud Muffin 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pet Sounds 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Vitality 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Maximus Magic 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Finalist 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Seguimi 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Timeskip 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Coleyville 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bet 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Society Joe 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Flat Out Vixen 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Diamondback 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Synchromesh 20.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Mambointheforest 10.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Stop the Humbug 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Giant Teddy 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Aim for the Sky 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Galvaston 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Light the Lamp 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Asyoubelieve 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Determined Fury 4.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Bachelor Pad 6.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Maakwa 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Rat Portage 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn S.) – Autumn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tyson 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 War Bomber (IRE) 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Win for the Money 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Artie’s Storm 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Luckman 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scoot Daddy 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Told It All 20.00 2 4-1
4 4 Have a Souper Day 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Spirit Animal 1.40 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tapsasional 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Bode’s Tipsy 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Malibu Edge 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Journeyman 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 So Called Vacation 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chairman Rainbow 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Fabled Prince 10.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Coherence 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 One True Gentleman 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Hygge 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Midnight Tempesta 20.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Road to Versailles 10.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Demba 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Model S 12.00 11.4 21-1
1 1 Just for Maddie 20.00 11.6 22-1
10 10 Ask in My Name 12.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.