Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Timber | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paco the Taco Man | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grumpy Brooksie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Dragon | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jesus’ Dream | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuedorf | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mataro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Finally Captured | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stavros | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Love | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Cabana | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kidman Kerry | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Fish | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exit Right | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corkman | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brett’s World | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Sir Colonel | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypt | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Red | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traffic Master | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morethanafeeling | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance a Dini | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victors Valiant | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Motion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battuta d’Oro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Steely Danza | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Jones | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Uhtred | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Porsupuesto | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimmebackmybullets | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dangnabbit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Darnley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Taco Bean | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orchard | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Dance | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Floge | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maria Says So | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Colorada | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maher | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Philly Thing | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’sabulletsteph | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dust Devil | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Game Time | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The King Cheek | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gerry | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nostalgic Run | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cobble Road | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suigu Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Five Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yodel E. A. Who | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rob the Rich | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Praetorian Guard | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Commission | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquist | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beach Daze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lindalovesgold | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Medal Anna | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catti La Belle | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clout Chaser | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girlfromouterspace | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scott Alaia | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peachy Weachy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Book Marker | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough Workout | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steerage | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Wildcat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluey | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Staff Sergeant | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Show Em the Lights | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Connecting | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Omerta Code | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indybound | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boys and Bullets | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.