Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Krickle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almond Fudge | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Intermittent Fast | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Trouble | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Sass | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stealthespotlight | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mila Junes | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Veracruzin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Gentleman | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizzy Indy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sting Music | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharpenyourfaith | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaps Knight | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Richiesderbystrike | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kykeon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Floris | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ziggzappa | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catherine Blaze | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prana | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In a Peach | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sophisticated | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Smart | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tribest (ARG) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Analyzed | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salsalita Verde | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Domina | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperator Furiosa | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Free Will | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jayla | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sha Girl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| Imperator Furiosa | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Conversing | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Tiz Wicked Strong | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Utah Beach | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 17 | 17 | Ice Time | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 18 | 18 | Game Keeper | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Presider | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Fayette Spirit | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proton Spirit | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Earl of Dassel | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Archie the Giza | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sagittarius | 5.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pilkington | 15.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orbi One | 15.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crossing | 30.00 | 16.3 | 31-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Missionaire | 10.00 | 16.4 | 31-1 |
| 7 | 7 | As One Does | 15.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whitewalker | 12.00 | 17.7 | 33-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ode to Gershwin | 30.00 | 18 | 34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Parody | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Spa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Arlington | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Effortlesslyelgant | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charriere | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Girl | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Promise of Hope | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frankel Baby | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arden’s Assault | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkle of Hope | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vow | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Foxann | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margoinabubblebath | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Magic Chrissy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Music Festival | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roc’s Princess | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Punchy Girl | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Cant Be Doin That | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Trip Home | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | St. Elmo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sbagliato | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Rising | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gatlinburg | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Write Off Jerry | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | The Prince’s Spur | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tepeu | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Leave It to Kitten | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madison Luvs Duke | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo’s Ghost | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Ahijado | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roja Redemption | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stroke of Midnight | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Icy Stare Down | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Off the Charts | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Home | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sacred Beauty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Supertaleofhoudini | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rock the Nile | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Ice | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Empire | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Gran Chemin | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin Royal | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L. A. Star | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Louise | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Speed | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.