Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pure Connection | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss You No More | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Yellowstone | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Lady | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Purr Tiger | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Presence | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Moon Beach | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montana’s Angel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Willa | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | De De’s Bird | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Maybelenne | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Summerosa | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Cindy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Va Voom | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Angel | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Talkative | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nordic Queen | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witsec | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pondered | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Freyas Catz | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Twinkies | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Purrfect Moon | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Got a Name | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Next Revolt | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drivehappy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T Bones Trick | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Doc | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whitaker | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Knobs | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stormsacomin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slew’s Liaison | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Payne | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Brave Okie | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adair County | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deroy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Crusader | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Forest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magic Castle | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jalen Journey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charliecando | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Son of a Chief | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tin Badge | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Promise | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wrath | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scooter’s Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Win Worthy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Board Certified | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Special Moment | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resolutionist | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilton | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hallow Point | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yip Yip Kip | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Georgia Deputy | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dyna Strike | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Truth | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Slam | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cielo’s Knight | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C B’s Flat Out | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legacy Account | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Even Terms | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buckin Again | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clay’s Ruby Love | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Feelin My Oats | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kamikaze Blue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molly of Stratford | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Dolly | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soaring Lady | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Nelson | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exclusive Access | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Clancy | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Divine | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.