Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Call Her Bluff 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mangia 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dolce Veloce 1.80 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tone of Silence 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Walk With Me 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Carol T 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s Awesome 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mim 2.00 3 6-1
6 6 La Grotte 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Harlan’s Bond 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Big Hazel 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dolce Sera 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Rebel Consort 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Opportunity Set 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Golden Purchase 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Union Tap 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Motivo 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 I Love Cara 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Louie’s Heat 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Bargaining Power 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Citizen Mack 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Testa Dura 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mariah’s Fortune 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Suspended Campaign 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Vegas Weekend 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Freudian 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Run Devil 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Gringotts 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Triple P 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 April Antics 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Needed 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Mother Mary 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Going for Glory 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Wise Conversation 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cara’s Girl 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Classic Diva 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Necessaryandproper 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 She’s a Laker 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mastery’s Secret 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Typhoon Fury 0 0-1
11 11 Reverend Moon 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Have You Heard 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Typhoon Fury 4.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Bourbon Outlaw 12.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Ocala Rocket 2.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Summer in Adriane 10.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Sounds Like Fun 30.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Air Invasion 3.50 10.1 19-1
12 12 Financial District 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Migratory 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Smokey Smokey 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fratellino 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Aleah Aleah 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dune Road 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Game Misconduct 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 American Law 2.50 1 2-1
6 5 Clubhouse 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Magical Ways 8.00 2.6 5-1
1A 10 Colonel Vargo 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Masterwork 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Memphis 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 1 Vodka Mardini 3.50 6.1 12-1
7 7 Equaljusticeforall 50.00 6.7 13-1
1 6 Kant Beat the Rock 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sainthoodforbrian 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Masterof the Tunes 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dream Central 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Waterville 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Snowy Evening 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Autumn Glory 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Golden Rocket 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Home for Christmas 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Mia Bea Star 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Carbon 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sweetest Princess 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tavin 1.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bornforgreatness 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Speights Dance 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Notafraidtocharge 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lone Star Wildcat 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Cromarty 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Change Order 8.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Song of Solomini 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Santagata 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Yes She Can 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.