Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call Her Bluff | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mangia | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolce Veloce | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tone of Silence | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk With Me | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carol T | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s Awesome | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mim | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harlan’s Bond | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hazel | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Consort | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Opportunity Set | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Union Tap | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motivo | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Love Cara | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Louie’s Heat | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bargaining Power | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Citizen Mack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Testa Dura | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mariah’s Fortune | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspended Campaign | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Weekend | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Devil | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gringotts | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple P | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April Antics | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Needed | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mother Mary | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Going for Glory | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Conversation | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Diva | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Necessaryandproper | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Laker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mastery’s Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Typhoon Fury | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Reverend Moon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Have You Heard | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Typhoon Fury | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Outlaw | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ocala Rocket | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer in Adriane | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sounds Like Fun | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Air Invasion | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Financial District | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Migratory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Smokey Smokey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Fratellino | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aleah Aleah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dune Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Game Misconduct | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | American Law | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clubhouse | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Magical Ways | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Colonel Vargo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterwork | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memphis | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vodka Mardini | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Equaljusticeforall | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Kant Beat the Rock | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sainthoodforbrian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Masterof the Tunes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream Central | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waterville | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snowy Evening | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Autumn Glory | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Rocket | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Home for Christmas | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carbon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweetest Princess | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tavin | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bornforgreatness | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speights Dance | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notafraidtocharge | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Star Wildcat | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cromarty | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Change Order | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song of Solomini | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Santagata | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Yes She Can | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.