Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cashmeup | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Moves | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Craken | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Photo Op | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pearse | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Le Coop | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| Cashmeup | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sonador | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Showgirl Lynne B | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yolanda Who | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dogwoodsmilliejane | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ship It | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buckeye Rose | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Kitten | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Larry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kattath | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Huge Bigly | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boitano | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Keeper | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortlist | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Runner | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Study Committee | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lundberg | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gucci Boy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoke Wagon | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Without Rein | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passing Judgment | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City of Love | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Officer Quigley | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hess | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mounsieur Coco | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gaslight Dancer | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Private Creed | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ryvit | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiseler | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Money Run | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bal a Kazoo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| Private Creed | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Salming | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Stormy | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bear River | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Formal Affair | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Matador | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mikealicious | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Anthony | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heart Headed | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Melody | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Issue (FR) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Red | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Charge the Castle | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Solidify | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Boss | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Panic | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tee Burns | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Kentucky | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | W W Hotshot | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lykan | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tilted Towers | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Faithful Ruler | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Market Street | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First World War | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Footprint | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mozlzil | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khanate | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catching Freedom | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lagynos | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Parchment Party | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodcourt | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barksdale | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spartan Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Treasure | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Revenge | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Toni | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Bernadette | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King’s Secret (GB) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laserjet | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bric a Brac | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Milan Mischief | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Rhaenyra | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Queen Rhaenyra | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.