Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pinch Hitter 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 G E H Giants Way 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Nineteen Hundred 10.00 4 8-1
8 8 Hullinahurry 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Presumptive Closer 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Directional 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Plenty of Cents 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Malorie’s Big Boy 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Wings of Gold 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mosh Pit 12.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Captains Cove 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Love a Fighter 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hardly Able 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 The Boyz Priority 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Harpes Hill 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Zoey’s Hippie 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Son Carlos 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 In a Bind 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Free From Guilt 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Empire Kid 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Now Now Saint 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Catch Me T 15.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sassi D 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Gray Dane 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Grand Encore 20.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Sonya Knows Better 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Poppa Magic 15.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Cozy Gem 4.50 5 10-1
6 6 Dynamic Moon 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Apriority Avenger 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Beaudean 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Native Star 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magical Mark 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Frosty View 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Awesome Ruta 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Stovall 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 C D’s Wild Fire 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Ghostly Time 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Loudermilk 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Western Afleet 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Silver Chalice 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Joey’s Lightening 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Smart Analysis 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Payoff Cycle 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mr Elvin 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Xanthus Wrath 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Saber Storm 4.50 4.7 9-1
10 10 Shady Grady 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Kinlee’s Song 15.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Double Priority 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Heather’s Request 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Byathread 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Incorrigible 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Four Sevens 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Silver N Lai 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Hardcore Folklore 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Whiskey’s Gone 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Birthday Party 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Applewood 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Herzen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Laura 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Waters of Merom 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Akasi 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Fasted 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Lil Allie Dancer 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Blue Ridge Queen 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Kenya Strike 4.50 8 15-1
8 8 B’s Lil’ Bumblebee 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Cozzolani 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mongolian Bee 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Heir to Greatness 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Knight Commander 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Classic Bet 2.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Play Mo 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Burning Leaves 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Up N Gone 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Bay Be Gone 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 God’s Gold 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twisted Brade 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sense of Heart 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Old School Flash 4.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Abbey Cakes 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Charming Kat 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pennie’s Magic 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Don’t Blink Twice 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Serena’s Serenade 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Glorious Gears 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 That Is Awesome 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 La Lola 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Grace’s Vision 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.