Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pinch Hitter |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
G E H Giants Way |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nineteen Hundred |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hullinahurry |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Presumptive Closer |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Directional |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Plenty of Cents |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Malorie’s Big Boy |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wings of Gold |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mosh Pit |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Captains Cove |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Love a Fighter |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hardly Able |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Boyz Priority |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Harpes Hill |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zoey’s Hippie |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Son Carlos |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
In a Bind |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Free From Guilt |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Empire Kid |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Now Now Saint |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Catch Me T |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sassi D |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gray Dane |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Encore |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sonya Knows Better |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Poppa Magic |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cozy Gem |
4.50 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dynamic Moon |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Apriority Avenger |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Beaudean |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Native Star |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Magical Mark |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frosty View |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Ruta |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Stovall |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
C D’s Wild Fire |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Time |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Loudermilk |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Western Afleet |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Silver Chalice |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joey’s Lightening |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smart Analysis |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Payoff Cycle |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Elvin |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Xanthus Wrath |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saber Storm |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Shady Grady |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kinlee’s Song |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Double Priority |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heather’s Request |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Byathread |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Incorrigible |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr. Four Sevens |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Silver N Lai |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hardcore Folklore |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whiskey’s Gone |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Birthday Party |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Applewood |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Herzen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Laura |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Waters of Merom |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Akasi |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fasted |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Allie Dancer |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Ridge Queen |
8.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kenya Strike |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
B’s Lil’ Bumblebee |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cozzolani |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mongolian Bee |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heir to Greatness |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Knight Commander |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Classic Bet |
2.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Play Mo |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Burning Leaves |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Up N Gone |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bay Be Gone |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
God’s Gold |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Twisted Brade |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sense of Heart |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Old School Flash |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Abbey Cakes |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charming Kat |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pennie’s Magic |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’t Blink Twice |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Serena’s Serenade |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Glorious Gears |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
That Is Awesome |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
La Lola |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Grace’s Vision |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.