Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ranger Fox 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Elusive Edge 10.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Great Idea 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Kenner 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Volkert 2.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Boss Man J J 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Magical Jaime 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cocktail Dreaming 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alliallioxenfree 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Linahaspecshoes 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ellie Victorina 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ginger Girl 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rationalmillennial 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Merger of Equals 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flitter 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Get Loaded 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 In Her Cups 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Volatility 1.80 3.6 7-1
6 6 Magnolia Wind 30.00 4 7-1
5 5 Quality Weekend 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Denim N Lace 15.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Finaljump 8.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Princess Lena 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Golden Charm 1.60 SCRATCH
12 12 Norah Boo 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Quit Quay 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sippin’ Time 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Turbo Millie 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 R B’s Big Moment 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Doesn’thurttoflirt 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Dazzling Demelza 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Any Fools Gold 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Robbery 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Super Sneaky 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wicked Secret 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wrecking Ball 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mister Abarrio 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 St. Joe Louis (GB) 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Opposites Attract 10.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 General’s Duty 10.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Crossland 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Beautiful Gorgeous 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Box N Ben 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Uncle Jake 1.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lamarvelous 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 King Covee 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Order Ofthe Kettle 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Renegade 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Heldish 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Great Heavens 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Disputed Claim 4.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Frightland 3.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Goodafternoonoscar 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Rhumjar 4.50 5.5 10-1
12 12 Fole’s Notion 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Arden’sluckytobe 50.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Subject to Change 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Feeling Woozy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fun Notion 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Lost Weekend 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Upsidedown Man 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tenax 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tall Order 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 One Truth 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Despite Odds 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Surprise Hello 50.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Freeze the Fire 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Run Raegan Run 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Meetmeatthebeach 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lil Spinner 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jess’s Gypsy Girl 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cora’s Choice 30.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Fashionatta 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Bali Hai 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Always Forward 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.