Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Perfect Mistake 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Troubled Luck 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Tour Jete 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 La Indecente 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Mysaria 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Organa Solo 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 City Blocks 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Slack Tide 1.80 1 2-1
5 4 Sue Ellen Mishkin 2.50 3.1 6-1
1A 7 Diva Banker 3.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Beautiful Karen 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Jackie the Joker 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Its Cold in Dehere 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Trade Secret 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Piccata Prince 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Remember the Name 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 6 My Man Woody 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Badlands Ruler 2.50 5 9-1
5 5 Thunderslam 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Quicker Than Quick 12.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Max S 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kant Beat the Rock 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tenebris 12.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Anthracite 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Duke of Gloucester 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Stjames 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Pine Valley 30.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Petrolo 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Strapped 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Brooklyn Diamonds 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 War Prince 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Screw Loose 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Academy Choice 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sin Nombre 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Practical Miss 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Majestic Arc 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Thatsmyboxer 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Testa Dura 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Chulligan 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Max Foster 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kentucky Joker 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Bustino Santino 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Nobilis 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Vaunted 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Woodside Warrior 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sharpaz 12.00 5 10-1
8 8 The Mighty Don 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Good Reunion 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Somama Beach 50.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Runandscore 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Be the Boss 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 G Munning 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Locke and Key 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 My Last Mission 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 One Whirlwind Ride 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Fast Buck Freddy 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Sinful Dancer 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Two for Charging 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Let’s Go Big Blue 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Born Dancer 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Citizen K 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rough Draft 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Runningwscissors 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 King of Comedy 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Itsallcomintogetha 10.00 6 11-1
3 2 Agent Creed 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Curly Larry and Mo 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 4 Steelersfanforlife 30.00 13.6 26-1
11 11 Maxwell Esquire 12.00 SCRATCH
15 16 Prince of Pharoahs 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 13 Giramonte 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Danzigwiththestars 4.50 SCRATCH
14 15 Zeebear 2.00 SCRATCH
13 14 General Banker 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dance With Me Babe 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Debbie Darling 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Unholy 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Follow the Fed 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Galatrona 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Island Rose 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Boston Strong Mama 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mo Damorninggrouch 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dreaming of Carli 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Accelerina 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ghostbustin 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.