Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magazine | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Katerini | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leopardess (GB) | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violet Storm | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shezmisbehaving | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magazine | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Halo Uncle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fact Or Fiction | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Juju | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Thursday | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie’s Wave | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Coast | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Julias Dream | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | April Vintage | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thermal | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheeky Gal | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Becky’s Dream (FR) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Vienna | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Indispensable | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ario | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colorado Cruiser | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Prime | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bartholdy | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Dume | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Flyer | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bolt At Midnight | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duccio | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Bagger | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Quintecents | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St Ignacio | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventuresome | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Salute | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autoline (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pinehurst (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Times | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nyquiler | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thank You Honey | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thrust | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aviator Nation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chrome to Riches | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Ju Forget | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Class Clown | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cholly | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Maryann | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Renella | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scary Fast Ride | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Sunrise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mango Moon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ah Jeez | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Calm Sea | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Mo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Aza Tack | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Camilo | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Fury | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ze’bul | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duty First | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hondo Crouch | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nokie | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Torquewrench | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Way | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonesome Stew | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bendettijoe | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.