Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Magazine 0 0-1
1 1 Katerini 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Leopardess (GB) 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Violet Storm 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Shezmisbehaving 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Corporal Violette (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Magazine 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Halo Uncle 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Fact Or Fiction 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Uncle Juju 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Thirsty Thursday 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Eddie’s Wave 2.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bear Coast 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Julias Dream 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 April Vintage 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Thermal 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cheeky Gal 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Becky’s Dream (FR) 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bella Vienna 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Indispensable 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ario 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Colorado Cruiser 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Coach Prime 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Bartholdy 3.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Point Dume 12.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 American Flyer 8.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Bolt At Midnight 30.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Duccio 15.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Sand Bagger 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Quintecents 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 St Ignacio 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Adventuresome 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Smooth Salute 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Autoline (IRE) 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Pinehurst (IRE) 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Hard Times 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Nyquiler 30.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Thank You Honey 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Thrust 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Aviator Nation 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chrome to Riches 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Don’t Ju Forget 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Class Clown 3.50 1.3 3-1
8 8 Cholly 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lady Maryann 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Bella Renella 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wishtheyallcouldbe 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Scary Fast Ride 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Shanghai Sunrise 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Mango Moon 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Ah Jeez 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Calm Sea 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Smart Mo 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sharp Aza Tack 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Camilo 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Fury 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ze’bul 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Duty First 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Hondo Crouch 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Nokie 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Torquewrench 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Creative Way 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Lonesome Stew 2.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Bendettijoe 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.