Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vodka Martini 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Munqad 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Fahan 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Efficiency 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Graves Mill Road 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Intimidation 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Minnesota Miracle 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Dial in for Lute 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Meant for Me 20.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Drewpower 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Dried Pepper 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mbagnick (CHI) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Jean Lafitte S.) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Not Listening 0 0-1
5 5 Good Like Magic 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Spinning Aces 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Strong Promise 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Classic Power (IRE) 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Not Listening 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Awesome Ruta 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Twirling Troillet 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gone Elvis 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Caught Off Guard 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Good and Stout 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runlikecarl 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cunimbus 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Baby’s Last Dance 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Autumn Rob 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Joe T 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Pound Out a Deal 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Majestic Palace 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Nopenottonight 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oak Hill Lg 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Bayou Jam 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Flashing Angelbaby 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Heza Pickle 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Pinch Me a Penny 3.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Bind Faith 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Monarch’s Mischief 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Cherokee Takeover 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (My Trusty Cat S.) – My Trusty Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pursuit of Liberty 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Abigail’s Road 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Kant Resist It 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Tapit Jenallie 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Call’em All 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Nana’s Corn Muffin 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Noriskit Nobiscuit 3.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 True Princess 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Taylors Magic 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Katies Factor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cinco Gal 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Highly Grand 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 She Smiled At Me 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Tall Tale 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dylan’s Dream 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Good by Faith 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Long Legged Lady 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Gnaughty Kimmy 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Kentucky Angel 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Princess Fanny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avendore 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Indy Lover 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lady Envoy 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Cajun Two Step 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sweet Dynasty 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mila’s Kat 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cherokee Summer 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Ryan’s Grace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Palace 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Custom Blue Grass 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Smooth Colliery 12.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Sharp Charlie 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Mucho Marvin 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Double Barrel Man 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Full Power 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 One Tough Charlie 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Bankroll 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Hostile Afleet 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Half Crazy 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Yo Play 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Inglis 8.00 2 4-1
9 9 Pallaton 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 El Jefe Cobb 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Dee’s Legs 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Jusasteeledreamer 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Flattersolution 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Came Out Kickin 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 R and R Star 8.00 8 15-1
11 11 Holiday Forever 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wildcats’s Meow 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.