Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mad Banker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Lucky | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Sequence | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Knight’s Courage | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Delaware Boyz | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swept | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Tough | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Braca | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gut Feeling | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inspeightoftrainer | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Works | 0.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Cay | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock the Weekend | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Achilles Heel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Joy | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Authorize | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucency | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burton Way | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ringside | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Escalation Clause | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Era | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Price | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Cat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Early | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince James | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | F F Rocket | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lohengrin Two | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Drive | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gandy Dancing | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Striking Speed | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rally Squirrel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cugino | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Triple Espresso | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enlighten | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unique Insight | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bounteous | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thornbury | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Four Top | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hamilton’s Way | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cugino | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Urge to Merge (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Won Team | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bold Ambition | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | The Hero Code | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Otello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pet Mat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dangerous Driver | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Get Ready to Rock | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pebbles S.) – Pebbles S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Wish | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Implicated | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Skillet | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Startup Mentality (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Precious Avary | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rhiannon | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On the Shortlist | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plentitude | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stephanie’s Charm | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Katherine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Utamaro | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Bob | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Street | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inspector | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Break the Ice | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Water Flow | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mama Banned Me | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scotto | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Monarch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Victorious Wave | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Armor | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Nation Army | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jemography | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Colonel Bowman | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | My Harbors Dream | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Red Smith S.) – Red Smith S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Verstappen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limited Liability | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Master Piece (CHI) | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Ark | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nineeleventurbo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cross Border | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Daunt | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So High (GB) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marwad (GB) | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tide of the Sea | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Red Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Costa Terra | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Main Event | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Classic Catch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Veterans Beach | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Flavor | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kreesa | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Russi | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreampoint | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Image of Quality | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thank You Jon | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Got It | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame It On Daddy | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Cobbler | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heroneandonly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Red D G P | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ortus | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dr. Settle’s Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shortsinthewinter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.