Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Vintage (IRE) 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Hedwig 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Invincible 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Always On Cay 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Des Doigts 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lawless World 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 E J Won the Cup 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 British Isles 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Pilot Commander 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Imagination 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Deal Em 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Classic Alphie 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Shot of Courage 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Respect the Crown 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mocha Grande 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ellie Moore (IRE) 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Pink Whitney 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Ennereilly (IRE) 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tianma 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Flight to Quality (FR) 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Brand New Dream 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Auratium 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sheza Girly Girl 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Equilove (IRE) 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Spoiled Rotten 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Never Sway 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tropicana Girl 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tapit Doux 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Flatterwithjewels 8.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Flat Out Joy 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Drizella 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kissed by Fire 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Runninwiththeboyz 3.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Secrets Told 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 She’s Got a Way 5.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Queen Molotov 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Alternate Rock 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 New Collection (GB) 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 M Is for Magic 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rufa Red Knot 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Habeas 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Donttestyourluck 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Memes 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Bolts Destiny 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 My Brother Mike 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Diamonds Preferred 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Non Toxic 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Chasing Alchemy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Kathryn Crosby S.) – Kathryn Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ganadora 0 0-1
5 5 Dolce Zel (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Turnerloose 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Yerwanthere (IRE) 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Ganadora 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Linda’s Gift 5.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Lucky for You 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Nadette (FR) 6.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Free and Humble 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Very Scary 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Devil Be Me 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Will Be 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 6 Hard to Figure 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Clouseau 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Mucino 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cowboy Mike 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Oviatt Class 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Cool Papa G 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 98 Mischelof (CHI) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Birth of Cool 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Park City 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Comradery (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Never Seen Before (IRE) 4.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Brutto 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Heir (FR) 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 6.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Egomania 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Mastermind 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Warrens Candy Man 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.