Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Paynter | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overtaxed | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Operator | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheatin Charlie | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charming Charlie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wedington | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Like It | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Now Now Man | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heartthrob Halo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Rachel | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mean Cruiser | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ferocity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Myfriendsawinner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serape | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Track Smart | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harriet’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dolly’s Guitar | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Real Alice | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Debbies Passage | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summertime Bandit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Line Ruler | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Her Away | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamysawesomeday | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Idea | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebecca’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | With a Song | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southeaster | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fist City | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Berti | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Heart Legend | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Run | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daahers Bully | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Move It | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donna’s Court | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pray Ide Sing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farewell Time | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kurt’s Choice | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Janet’s Devil | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Mandate | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oxxon | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moro Mafia | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Defender | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major Deal | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Putthehammerdown | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Brother | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bella’s Gatsby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apriority Avenger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Daddy | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Perfecta | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Tap Baby | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beaudean | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baileys Bro | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Native Star | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Warrior | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bud Won | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleonic Code | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Circle the Moon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Total Surprise | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itwasthisbig | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Gold | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Jony | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papiringo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Temperament | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jumpin Judy | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Izatiz | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Shack Queen | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Delight | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angel’s Melody | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broke Financing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shesthebiggame | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | E R’s Mireya | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chacha to Catalina | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flying I | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talkabout | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dat Dares Right | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sagamechanger | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Party Crasher | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s the Sheriff | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grace’s Vision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Lu Lu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jennysbigbaby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.