Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sweet Miss 0 0-1
2 2 Crown Jak 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sky Divine 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mi Amore 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sweet Miss 30.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Last Glory 4.50 4.3 8-1
14 14 Party Shaker 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Field of Blossoms 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Perfectly Mperfect 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Alexandra’s Song 3.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Oya Thunder 15.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Condora 12.00 10 19-1
12 12 Bingo’s Dream 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Country Economics 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quick Recovery 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Golden Haven 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Harlan’s Legacy 1.80 3 6-1
7 7 Downton Tabby 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 One Track Mine 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Daisy Bee 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Katz That Gal 2.00 6 11-1
8 8 A Ring Thing 30.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Love Unlimited 6.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Disco Queen 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Immense Faith 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tizaduke 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Royal Fox Hills 15.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Carolina Traffic 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Decisive Pride 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Wideright 1.80 4.2 8-1
4 4 Motown Punk 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Curlin’s Kitten 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Juvenile Fillies Sprint S.) – Juvenile Fillies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chi Chi 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Hepburn 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Avellino 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Epona’s Hope 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Genuine Peril 30.00 6 11-1
7 7 Miss Sayely 2.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Florindia 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roar Ready 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Khoolzan 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 King Faliero 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Secret Lover 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Catalina Winemixer 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Improptude 15.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Reef Runner 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fort Charles 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Iris’s Dream 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Awesome Train 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dial Him Up 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Artico 4.50 2 4-1
7 7 Make ‘Em Tap 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Racket 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nowitzki 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Travel Guide 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Adorian 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Mister Moore 2.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Roan 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Amaranto 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Echo Lane 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Runnin’ Rocket 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Vinsanity 30.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Wild Caught 10.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Test Factor 8.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Bell Mountain 6.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Salacious 4.50 8.6 16-1
10 10 Fastest 4.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Overmars 30.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Starship Mocha 5.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Simsoum 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Juvenile Sprint S.) – Juvenile Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Effect 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sound of the Beast 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Saint No More 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Squints 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 General Ledger 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Private Thoughts 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Lace Up 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pacific Princess 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Demogorgon 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Golden Voice 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Don’t Get Pickled 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Khosea 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Current Situation 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Streaking Grey 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Zisisit (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Khozeiress 0 0-1
8 8 Swirvin 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Bouncer 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Khozeiress 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dreaming of Kona 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Legacy Isle 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Loco Abarrio 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Lightning Tones 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 West Coast Cowboy 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Midnight Pranks 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 No Confession 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shiloh 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Belleshazza 1.80 1.9 4-1
9 9 Starship Dynasty 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Calming Sea 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Eskimo Street 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Subtle Senorita 30.00 3 6-1
1 1 Gladiatora 50.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Carbonel 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 British Empress 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 Girvaceous 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 I Love Ireland 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 One Smokin’ Rita 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.