Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Drilling for Gold 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sasse’s Class 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 St James the Great 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mortal Sin 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 In the Air 50.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Shadow Man 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Modica 2.50 5.5 10-1
10 10 Dats My Pharaoh 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 City Leader 3.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Amen McLaren 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Burroughs Cay 15.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Izzy d’Oro 20.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 D Majestical 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Abrams 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Surfboard 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dancing Mischief 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 2 Dublshotofcourage 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 Prince Fred 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Hittheroadjak 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 7 Chica Chuck 2.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Wild Alex 20.00 4 8-1
2 1 Victoria’s Devine 30.00 5.1 10-1
1A 9 Little Lance 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Spy 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dr. Doyle 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Free Square 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Shoot Themessenger 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pepe and Heywood 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Horn of Plenty 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Crimson Rocket 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Champion by Design 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Deeds of Love 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bondiva 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Gamestonks 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Whatsyourbigidea 3.00 4 8-1
8 9 Nineteenamendment 20.00 4 8-1
3 2 Cynergy’s Electra 20.00 4.1 8-1
1A 8 Rowsie Express 1.60 4.4 8-1
4 3 Bad Temper 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 4 Shinelikeadiamond 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Starlifter 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Inchon 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Fouroneohsmokeshow 8.00 1.3 3-1
14 14 Eddie Felson 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Neil to the King 12.00 2.2 4-1
13 13 Grand Kingdom 30.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Goodbye Note 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Last Post 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Chevy Man 30.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Money in Motion 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Noble Wave 3.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Cesnola 30.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Passioned 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Primed to Go 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Kinda Fonda Wanda 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Smart Halo S.) – Smart Halo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Princess Indy 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cap Classique 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Low Mileage 30.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Deboisblanc 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Caress 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Roanan Goddess 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Miss Justify 30.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Miss Harriett 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Vicountess 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ms. Tart 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (James F. Lewis Iii S.) – James F. Lewis Iii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Copper Tax 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Catahoula Moon 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bolt of Aurum 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Inveigled 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Give It a Whirl 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Sweet Soddy J 4.50 4 8-1
3 3 Buccherino 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Secret Zipper 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Thirty Eight Go Go S.) – Thirty Eight Go Go S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hybrid Eclipse 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Malibu Beauty 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Opus Forty Two 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 I’m Gittin There 20.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sweet Willemina 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Milagrosa Surena (ARG) 30.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Hashtag Lucky 30.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Champagne Toast 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Luna Belle 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Intrepid Daydream 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Return Fire 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sugar Hoof 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Volpe 30.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Dats Dats Dats 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Paynter’s Prodigy 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bowie Mun 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Naughty Streak 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 El de Larry 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.