Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Might Bee Speedy 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Point to the Stars 20.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Rookie Radar 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Just Start Me Up 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Boxer Brief 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Gendragon 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Super Headline 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Graceful Fighter 4.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Small Talk 6.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Hardware Gap 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Katchy Name 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Make No Mistake 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Lois Len 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Emerald Lake 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tempereya 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cefalo 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Kitten’s Romance 4.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Wicked Mercury 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Lady in Red 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Winyah Bay 6.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Umneyaat 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 A Game 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pleasure’s Gold 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ol’ Blondie 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Gamble’s Silver 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Trading Bay 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ya Mar 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Sacred Dancer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Diosa Catrina 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hot Cargo 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Talk to Ya Later 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gamble’s Orb 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Sarah’s Dancer 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Silken Dollar 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Society’s Kat 8.00 5 10-1
2 2 Anam Cara 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Grace On the Green 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Ashbury 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ondine Lady 20.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mrs. C 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Princessonamission 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Crystal the Pistol 20.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Money Beets 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Turbo Prop 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Tag Team 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Tachyon Speed 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Alliston 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Maidens Blush 3.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Samurai 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lunch With Bernie 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Why Em Sea Ay 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 You Be the Judge 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mitole Power 20.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Kin’s Concerto 4.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Citrina 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Lodge Hill 20.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Holiday in Jail 10.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Ecstasy 15.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Princess Mayfair 4.50 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maple Leaf S.) – Maple Leaf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Il Malocchio 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Angelou 8.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Ephrata (GB) 20.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Millie Girl 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ever Smart 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Solo Album 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Inventing 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ready Lady 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Talbeyah (IRE) 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Indy Champagne 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 State of Mind 20.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Lady Brew 30.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 Batyah 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hai Bobbi 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jab 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Gizmo’s B F F 4.50 3.5 7-1
10 10 Collect Dattt 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Hatmaker Holiday 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 My Sunny Valentine 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Secretaryofthenile 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Weehawken 8.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Cardio Princess (JPN) 12.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Spider Belle 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bessarabian S.) – Bessarabian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Loyalty 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Our Flash Drive 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Miss Dracarys 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Ready To Venture (GB) 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Time for an Angel 30.00 5 10-1
13 13 Midnight Stroll 3.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Collecting Flatter 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dolce Sopresa 20.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Awesome Treat 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Artie’s Princess 20.00 5.9 11-1
14 14 Love to Shop 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Owen’s Tour Guide 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Spun Glass 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Baby No Worries 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Happy Valentine 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Botta Swing 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Michele M. 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Yoga 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 I’m Into Mischief 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Princessofthenorth 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Too Much Vino 20.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Souper Sunday 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Born to Boogie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Charlize 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Royal Ribbon 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Fedorova 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Momunnyfor Ro 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Magical Trick 5.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Little Teddy 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Speed Inthe Forest 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Daisycrest 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kikitsa 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Prima 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Speed Loader 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Rohese 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Mrs. Hot Shot 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.