Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Magnolia Midnight 1.60 1 2-1
1A 7 Got Thunder 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 4 Tetsu 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bustin Shout 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Mister J T 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Higher Quality 8.00 7 13-1
2 1 Cool Quartet 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 2 Leddy 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Union Belle 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Progeny 1.60 1.1 2-1
6 6 Tap the Keg 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mel’s Angel 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 To Be Loved by You 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 La Picasita 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 You’re Forever 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Miss Pla 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Costa Terra 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Skate 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Little Demon 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Guntown 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Signator 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Portos 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Long Island S.) – Long Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vergara 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 R Calli Kim 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Whatlovelookslike 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Atomic Blonde (GER) 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Unruly Julie 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Rhombique 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Embrace Me 50.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Amanda’s Folly 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Foreign Influence 4.00 1 2-1
8 9 Golden Sombrero 1.60 1 2-1
4 5 War Stride 3.50 1.8 3-1
1A 3 Xcellent Men 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 6 Login Required 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 4 Savings Rate 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 8 Party With Smarty 30.00 5 10-1
6 7 Respirator 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Venge 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Union Dolly 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Zipadoo 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 She’s Mo Bubbly 6.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 In Time (FR) 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Swoop to Finish 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Notinamillionyears (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 4 Alluring Angel (GB) 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Western Lane 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dreamawayseven 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Vienna Code 30.00 7.1 13-1
1A 11 Libretto (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Two Thirty Five 2.50 1 2-1
6 7 Market Alert 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 8 Alfio 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 9 Durkin’s Call 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Klickitat 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 10 Beachwalker 12.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Gentleman Joe 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mount Travers 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Six Percent 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Invisible War 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Styner 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Artie Schiller S.) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Masen (GB) 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jerry the Nipper 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Exact Estimate 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Big Everest (GB) 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pioneering Spirit 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 James Aloysius 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 St Anthony 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Wicked Finn 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Bring Me a Check 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sheriff Bianco 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kinetic Sky 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Offaly Cool 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Beach Cruiser 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Diannesretiring 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Lotsa Trouble 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mama’s Dream 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 God Laughs 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 The Big Torpedo 5.00 8 15-1
2 2 Tempesta Cremisi 20.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Tiz the Prince 12.00 10.3 20-1
6 6 Outtawaterbury 15.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Frankie R. 30.00 11 21-1
11 11 Sahanatien 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ballyheigue 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Elysian Meadows 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Lonchura 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 In a Minute 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mazzei 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.