Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Magnolia Midnight |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
7 |
Got Thunder |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
4 |
Tetsu |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bustin Shout |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mister J T |
4.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
Higher Quality |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cool Quartet |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Leddy |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Union Belle |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Progeny |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap the Keg |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mel’s Angel |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
To Be Loved by You |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Picasita |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
You’re Forever |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Pla |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Costa Terra |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Skate |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Little Demon |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Guntown |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Signator |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Portos |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Long Island S.) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Vergara |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
R Calli Kim |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whatlovelookslike |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atomic Blonde (GER) |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Unruly Julie |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rhombique |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Embrace Me |
50.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Amanda’s Folly |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Foreign Influence |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
9 |
Golden Sombrero |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
5 |
War Stride |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1A |
3 |
Xcellent Men |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
6 |
Login Required |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
4 |
Savings Rate |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
Party With Smarty |
30.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
7 |
Respirator |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Venge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Union Dolly |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zipadoo |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
She’s Mo Bubbly |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
In Time (FR) |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
3 |
Swoop to Finish |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Notinamillionyears (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
4 |
Alluring Angel (GB) |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Western Lane |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreamawayseven |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vienna Code |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1A |
11 |
Libretto (IRE) |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
2 |
Two Thirty Five |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
7 |
Market Alert |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
8 |
Alfio |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
9 |
Durkin’s Call |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Klickitat |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
10 |
Beachwalker |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Gentleman Joe |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mount Travers |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Six Percent |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Invisible War |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
Styner |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Artie Schiller S.) – Artie Schiller S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Masen (GB) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jerry the Nipper |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exact Estimate |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Everest (GB) |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pioneering Spirit |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
James Aloysius |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
St Anthony |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wicked Finn |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bring Me a Check |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Sheriff Bianco |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Kinetic Sky |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Offaly Cool |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Beach Cruiser |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diannesretiring |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lotsa Trouble |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mama’s Dream |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
God Laughs |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
The Big Torpedo |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tempesta Cremisi |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tiz the Prince |
12.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outtawaterbury |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frankie R. |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sahanatien |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Ballyheigue |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Elysian Meadows |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lonchura |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
In a Minute |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Mazzei |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.